Premier League predictions: Tottenham vs. Liverpool odds, pick

New York Post
 
Premier League predictions: Tottenham vs. Liverpool odds, pick

Liverpool and Tottenham are both sitting in a great spot after six matches in the Premier League.

Two of four teams in the circuit without a loss, both clubs have exceeded early expectations considering the questions that were being asked of them over the summer. 

Despite losing Harry Kane Tottenham has looked resurgent under new manager Ange Postecoglou, while the roster turnover at Liverpool has seemed to spark the club rather than stutter it.

Despite the parallel starts, the betting market still views Liverpool as a notch above Spurs, who are a +190 home underdog for their encounter on Saturday afternoon.

Tottenham vs. Liverpool pick

There is a big lineup decision for Spurs on Saturday as James Maddison is questionable to feature against Liverpool.

Maddison has been the most important player for Tottenham to start the season and he’s played a massive role in turning Spurs into an offensive power despite the fact that they lost the best striker in club history over the summer. 

But even if Maddison misses out, I think there’s room for Spurs to have success against a Liverpool defense that has bent but not broken this season.

Although the Reds have only allowed five goals and conceded 7.0 expected goals in six matches, they grade out as a middle-of-the-pack unit against buildup play.

Liverpool ranks ninth in expected threat allowed, 17th in crosses into the 18-yard box conceded and ninth in final-third entries per 90 minutes.

At some point teams will start to create scoring chances against this club and Spurs could be the team to do it considering they are one of the best build-up teams in the Premier League so far this season. 

The Maddison decision does loom large over this contest, but even if he is missing it’s hard to look away from Spurs as a home underdog in this spot. Liverpool is the better team, but the gap is not as wide as these odds suggest and I think Spurs are a live underdog in Saturday’s soccer headliner.