Rays vs. Orioles Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Zach Eflin gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays (91-57) Friday, looking for his 15th win of the season in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles (91-55). The Rays and Eflin are -132 favorites to pick up the win in the contest, which starts at 7:05 PM ET on Apple TV+, live from Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Tampa Bay’s Eflin and Baltimore’s Jack Flaherty have been named the starters for this contest.

Rays vs. Orioles Odds

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Who Will Win Rays vs. Orioles?

Rays and Orioles Betting Trends

The Rays have compiled a 79-40 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 66.4% of those games).

When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -132 or shorter, Tampa Bay has a 66-27 record (winning 71% of its games).

The Orioles have won 40, or 57.1%, of the 70 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

This season, Baltimore has won 24 of its 39 games, or 61.5%, when it’s the underdog by at least +112 on the moneyline.

The Rays have played in 148 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-65-4).

The Orioles and their opponents have hit the over in 75 of their 146 games with a total this season.

Rays Stats & Insights

The Rays have the No. 4 offense in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game (784 total runs).

Tampa Bay averages 1.4 home runs per game to rank third in MLB play with 211 total home runs.

The Rays’ .258 batting average is fifth-best in the majors.

Tampa Bay strikes out 8.8 times per game, the No. 21 mark in the majors.

The 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Rays pitching staff ranks sixth in the majors.

Tampa Bay’s 3.77 team ERA ranks second across all MLB pitching staffs.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles have scored 744 runs this season, which ranks sixth in MLB.

Baltimore ranks 16th in Major League Baseball with 172 home runs.

The Orioles rank fifth in MLB with a .258 team batting average.

Baltimore ranks 11th with an average of 8.3 strikeouts per game.

The Orioles average the 12th-most strikeouts per nine innings (nine) in the league this season.

Baltimore has the 12th-ranked ERA (4.03) in the majors this season.

Rays Key Players to Watch

The Rays are sending Eflin (14-8) to the mound for his 29th start of the season. He is 14-8 with a 3.53 ERA and 164 strikeouts through 160 2/3 innings pitched.

Yandy Diaz leads Tampa Bay with a .323 batting average. He’s also hit 20 homers and has 73 RBI.

Randy Arozarena has 133 hits and an OBP of .369 to go with a slugging percentage of .430 this season.

Isaac Paredes leads the club in homers (29) and runs batted in (89) this season.

Josh Lowe has collected 119 hits this season and has an OBP of .323. He’s slugging .481 on the year.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

Flaherty (8-8) will take the mound for the Orioles, his 27th start of the season.

Adley Rutschman is batting .268 with 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 83 walks.

Anthony Santander has shown off his power as he leads his team with 27 home runs and 84 RBI.

Gunnar Henderson is hitting .259 with 26 doubles, eight triples, 26 home runs and 51 walks.

Austin Hays is hitting .282 to pace his team.

Rays and Orioles Injuries

Rays: Jose Siri: 10 Day IL (Hand), Jason Adam: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Shane McClanahan: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Drew Rasmussen: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Jeffrey Springs: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Garrett Cleavinger: 60 Day IL (Knee), Shane Baz: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Orioles: Felix Bautista: 15 Day IL (Arm), Keegan Akin: 60 Day IL (Back), Terrin Vavra: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Dillon Tate: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ryan Mountcastle: day-to-day (Shoulder)