Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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29 May 2023

Orioles vs. Guardians Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Baltimore Orioles will take the field against the Cleveland Guardians (23-29) on Monday. The game begins at 1:05 PM ET on MLB Network, with the Orioles listed as -139 favorites on the moneyline.

Tyler Wells will get the ball for Baltimore while Cleveland will counter with Logan Allen.

Orioles vs. Guardians Odds

Orioles odds to win: -139
Guardians odds to win: +118
Spread: Orioles -1.5
Total: 8 runs

Orioles vs. Guardians Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, May 29, 2023
Time: 1:05 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Orioles vs. Guardians?

Orioles and Guardians Betting Trends

The Orioles have won 74.1% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (20-7).

Baltimore has a record of 18-4 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -139 or shorter (81.8% winning percentage).

The Guardians have entered the game as underdogs 21 times this season and won nine, or 42.9%, of those games.

Cleveland has a record of 4-6, a 40% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +118 or more by bookmakers this season.

In the 53 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Orioles, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 27 times (27-23-3).

The Guardians and their opponents have hit the over in 18 of their 51 games with a total this season.

Orioles Stats & Insights

The Orioles are the seventh-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging five runs per game (265 total).

Baltimore averages 1.2 home runs per game to rank 11th in MLB play with 64 total home runs .

The Orioles have the 15th-ranked batting average in the majors (.250).

Baltimore’s hitters strike out 8.1 times per game, the seventh-lowest average in MLB.

The pitching staff for the Orioles has a collective 9.1 K/9, the ninth-best in MLB.

Baltimore has the 12th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (4.11).

Guardians Stats & Insights

The Guardians are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 178 total runs (3.4 per game) this season.

Cleveland has hit just 30 homers this season, which ranks last in the majors.

The Guardians rank 28th in MLB with a team batting average of just .225.

No team has fewer strikeouts this season than Cleveland, which has struck out only 7.1 times per game on average.

The Guardians average just 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, worst in the league.

Cleveland has the seventh-best ERA (3.78) in the majors this season.

Orioles Key Players to Watch

Wells gets the start for the Orioles, his 10th of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 54 strikeouts through 57 2/3 innings pitched.

Cedric Mullins leads Baltimore in runs batted in with 39 while batting .266.

Adley Rutschman is batting .273 with an OBP of .397 and a slugging percentage of .433 this season.

Ryan Mountcastle’s 11 home runs lead all Baltimore hitters, and he’s slugging .456.

Adam Frazier has collected 40 hits this season and has an OBP of .324. He’s slugging .416 on the year.

Guardians Key Players to Watch

The Guardians will hand the ball to Allen (1-2) for his seventh start of the season.

Jose Ramirez has accumulated a team-high batting average of .273.

Steven Kwan is hitting .259 with 12 doubles, a triple, a home run and 29 walks.

Josh Naylor paces the Guardians in home runs (seven) and runs batted in (32).

Josh Bell is hitting .222 with 11 doubles, three home runs and 29 walks.

Orioles and Guardians Injuries

Orioles: Dillon Tate: 15 Day IL (Elbow), John Means: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Guardians: Aaron Civale: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Peyton Battenfield: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Cody Morris: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)