Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The San Antonio Spurs (13-48) visit the Houston Rockets (26-34) after losing five straight road games. The Rockets are favored by 6 points in the matchup, which begins at 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. The matchup has an over/under set at 228.5 points.

Rockets vs. Spurs Odds

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Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Rockets vs. Spurs?

Rockets and Spurs Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Rockets are 4-2 against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.

When they have played as at least 6-point underdogs this season, the Spurs are 21-23 against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 225.1 points per game, 3.4 fewer points than the total of 228.5 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 4.8 more points per game, 233.3, than this matchup’s over/under of 228.5 points.

The average over/under the Rockets have had set in matchups this season is 2.7 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average over/under for San Antonio’s games this season is 4.2 more points than the point total of 228.5 for this outing.

Houston is 30-28-2 against the spread this season.

So far this year, the Spurs have compiled a 30-31-0 record against the spread.

Rockets Stats & Insights

The Rockets have a -12 scoring differential, putting up 112.8 points per game (21st in the league) and allowing 113.0 (11th in the NBA).

The Rockets record 46.2 rebounds per game (fourth in the league) while conceding 44.9 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.3 boards per game.

Houston makes 12.2 three-pointers per game (20th in the league), while its opponents have made 12.4 on average.

The Rockets put up 113.4 points per 100 possessions (24th in the league), while giving up 113.6 points per 100 possessions (sixth in the NBA).

The Rockets have been better offensively at home, where they score 115.0 points per game, compared to on the road, where they score 110.5 per game. Defensively, they are much better at home, where they give up 109.4 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let their opponents to average 116.6 per game.

Spurs Stats & Insights

The Spurs’ -486 scoring differential (being outscored by 8.0 points per game) is a result of putting up 112.3 points per game (22nd in NBA) while giving up 120.3 per contest (25th in league).

San Antonio grabs 43.3 rebounds per game (16th in league) while allowing 45.7 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.4 boards per game.

The Spurs hit 12.5 three-pointers per game (15th in the league) at a 34.7% rate (29th in NBA), compared to the 13.3 their opponents make, shooting 38.3% from beyond the arc.

The Spurs average 110.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (27th in league), and give up 118.8 points per 100 possessions (24th in NBA).

San Antonio is putting up more points at home (115.2 per game) than on the road (109.9).

Rockets Key Players to Watch

The Rockets get 20.8 points, 9.1 rebounds and 4.9 assists from Alperen Sengun.

Fred VanVleet’s averages this season are 16.5 points, 3.8 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game.

The Rockets get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of VanVleet.

Sengun picks up 1.1 takeaways per game, and VanVleet collects 0.9 rejections per contest.

Spurs Key Players to Watch

Victor Wembanyama is at the top of the Spurs scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.9 points per game and 10.2 rebounds per game to go with 3.4 assists per contest this season.

The Spurs have gotten 9.7 points, 5.9 assists and 3.3 rebounds out of Tre Jones this season.

Devin Vassell averages 2.5 made threes per game.

Wembanyama’s 1.3 steals and 3.4 blocks per game are key to the Spurs’ defensive effort.

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