Thunder vs. Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The Oklahoma City Thunder (39-17) are 6.5-point favorites as they try to extend a four-game winning streak when they visit the Houston Rockets (25-31) on Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Toyota Center. The game airs at 7:00 PM ET on Spac. The point total is 235.5 for the matchup.
Thunder vs. Rockets Odds
How to Bet on Thunder vs. Rockets
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Thunder vs. Rockets?
Thunder and Rockets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 6.5 points or more, the Thunder have a 13-4 record against the spread.
The Rockets are 7-8-1 against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game, 234.6, than this matchup’s over/under of 235.5 points.
Oklahoma City and Houston have seen its opponents average a combined 9.2 fewer points per game than the point total of 235.5 set for this matchup.
The Thunder’s average point total in matchups this year is 234.8, 0.7 points fewer than the over/under in this game.
The average point total for Houston this year is 9.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Oklahoma City has gone 35-20-1 ATS this season.
The Rockets have gone 28-26-2 ATS this year.
Thunder Stats & Insights
The Thunder outscore opponents by 8.0 points per game (scoring 121.4 points per game to rank third in the league while allowing 113.4 per contest to rank 13th in the NBA) and have a +451 scoring differential overall.
The 41.4 rebounds per game the Thunder average rank 26th in the league, and are 3.7 fewer than the 45.1 their opponents grab per contest.
Oklahoma City knocks down 13.5 three-pointers per game (10th in the league), while its opponents have made 13.5 on average.
The Thunder’s 121.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank second in the NBA, and the 113.7 points they allow per 100 possessions rank fifth in the league.
The Thunder have been significantly better offensively at home, where they average 124.0 points per game, compared to on the road, where they record 118.7 per game. Defensively, they are better in home games, where they surrender 112.4 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow their opponents to score 114.4 per game.
Rockets Stats & Insights
The Rockets score 113.2 points per game (21st in NBA) and give up 112.9 (11th in league) for a +14 scoring differential overall.
Houston ranks fourth in the league at 45.8 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 more than the 44.5 its opponents average.
The Rockets make 12.1 three-pointers per game (19th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.4. They shoot 35.1% from deep, and their opponents shoot 34.6%.
The Rockets’ 114.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 24th in the NBA, and the 113.8 points they allow per 100 possessions rank sixth in the league.
At home Houston is scoring 115.2 points per game, 4.2 more than it is averaging on the road (111.0).
Thunder Key Players to Watch
The active leader in points and assists for the Thunder this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scores 31.1 points and dishes out 6.6 assists per game.
Chet Holmgren contributes with 7.7 boards and 2.6 assists per game in addition to his 16.9 PPG scoring average.
Luguentz Dort makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Thunder, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.9 per contest.
Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.1 steals per game, while Holmgren has 2.6 blocks per contest.
Rockets Key Players to Watch
Alperen Sengun holds the top Rockets spot in two categories among active players: scoring (21.1 points per game) and rebounding (9.1 rebounds per game). He also dishes out 5.0 assists per contest.
Fred VanVleet’s per-game averages this season are 16.4 points, 8.1 assists and 3.8 rebounds.
VanVleet averages 2.9 made threes per game.
The Rockets’ defensive efforts get a boost from Sengun (1.1 steals per game) and VanVleet (0.9 blocks per game).
Under (235.5)
Thunder 118 – Rockets 113
