San Jose State Football Predictions, Betting Tips & Team Preview 2023: WagerTalk Best Betting Guide
San Jose State Football Predictions & Preview 2023:
Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down the Spartans chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on San Jose State football in 2023. Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for San Jose State football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on the Spartans this season.
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San Jose State Football Preview 2023: San Jose State Picks for Betting
Brett Brennan has made inroads, but the ceiling seems to be lower than other conference bowl types. Is there anyway that can change?
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San Jose State Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH
San Jose State’s run game regressed in ’22. They have a good lead RB (no depth) and four returning OL, so can’t they meet or exceed my modest projection (3.75)?
The 3-year run defense figures have been great (3.55 average). The DL lost everyone and my projection is up to 4.2 per carry.
I see no change in the pass D%. My keys are reducing sacks allowed (42), achieving run-pass balance, and no imploding with a weaker DL and pass rush, as their top three sackers (22 in total) are gone. The turnover ratio likely stays plus, but replicating +12 in that department is unlikely.
San Jose State 2023 Predictions, San Jose State Schedule:
San Jose State football has one tougher non-conference game, and adds both Air Force and Boise State to the conference slate. That hurts.
They’ll need a split of games vs. Oregon State and at Toledo to reach 2-2, and a split of games vs. Air Force and at Boise State to be 3-3. 2-4 is the safer prediction.
Can they sweep road games at New Mexico/Hawaii/UNLV? They are 3-8 in road games the past two seasons. November home games include Fresno (poor history) and San Diego State (lost last four at home).
San Jose State Football Bottom Line:
I like the staff, which has amazing long-term consistency but the team must play better to win vs. this upgraded schedule, and I have concerns along the defensive line that can’t be ignored. 6-6 is my ceiling, and 5-7 is in play if my stat projections are accurate.
San Jose State Football HANDICAPPING TIP:
I’ll lean + as a rush pick after this early slate of games but I’m hoping for 50-50 action pending stat adjustments.
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