Sean Strickland vs Dricus Du Plessis Pick, 1/20/2024 Predictions UFC 297 Odds

Sean Strickland vs Dricus Du Plessis

UFC 297

Scotiabank Arena in Toronto

Saturday, January 20, 2024

Sean Strickland will battle Dricus Du Plessis at UFC 297 on Saturday, January 20, 2024. The odds have Strickland priced at -130 while Plessis is coming in at +110.

Sean Strickland comes into this fight holding a mark of 28-5-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Dricus "Stillknocks" Du Plessis measures in at 6'1" and weighs 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-2-0. The 30-year-old reaches 76". In terms of significant strikes, Sean Strickland is landing 5.82 per minute and Dricus Du Plessis is connecting on 6.95 significant strikes per min. Strickland is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he throws and Du Plessis lands 55%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Strickland allows 4.24 significant strikes per min and "Stillknocks" absorbs 3.79. Strickland also stops 63% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Du Plessis deflects 53% of them.

Concerning wrestling, Sean Strickland is the not as competent as a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.92 times per 3 rounds. Strickland is finishing his takedown attempts on 64% of his tries and is stuffing 84% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Du Plessis is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 40% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submissions, Strickland is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 subs per 15 min while Du Plessis attempts 1.1 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Sean Strickland faced Israel Adesanya and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Adesanya landed 94 of 271 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Strickland finished this fight landing 137 of 259 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Adesanya landed 94 of 271, which means his percentage was 34%. He finished the fight landing 22 of 154 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Strickland ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by sticking 137 of 259. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 85 of 186 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Adesanya and 88% of them landed by Strickland were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Dricus Du Plessis, he squared up with Robert Whittaker and ended up getting the victory via a punch to the head in round 2. Whittaker ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Plessis ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Plessis ended up landing 59% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 62 of 104. He landed 38 of 77 significant strikes aimed at the head. Whittaker landed 31 of 70 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 23 of 59 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown in that contest, Whittaker landed 32 of 71 and Plessis landed 74 of 118 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Neil Magny battles Mike Malott. Magny steps into the Octagon with a mark of 28-12-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Malott comes in at 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 10-1-1. The 32-year-old reaches 73". In terms of takedowns, Neil Magny is averaging a takedown 2.22 times per 3 rounds and Mike Malott is able to score a takedown 2.53 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Magny connects for an average of 3.45 strikes per min and is landing 46% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Mike Malott, who tags his opponent on 42% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 4.21 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Marc-Andre Barriault is set to square up in the Octagon with Chris Curtis. Curtis walks into the cage with a mark of 30-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Barriault stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 16-6-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of wrestling, Chris Curtis is stopping 92% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries. Barriault is taking his opponents to the mat on 25% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 67% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Curtis is taking 6.30 strikes/min while he lands 5.36 strikes per minute. Barriault, in contrast, is absorbing 5.22 strikes/min and lands 5.95 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sean Strickland (-130)

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