Sunday Predictions: Chelsea to win at Tottenham while Carabao Cup final to go to penalties

Jones Knows explains why he thinks Chelsea will win at rivals Spurs and believes the Carabao Cup final between Manchester United and Newcastle will go to penalties.

Tottenham vs Chelsea, Sunday 1.30pm, live on Sky Sports

Graham Potter would make a great gambler. His ability to stay so level-headed in the face of a tornado of criticism and noise at his door - while also trying to manage some of the world's best footballers - is pretty remarkable. 'Be more like Potter', I'll think during my next frustrating losing run. Chelsea will stick to their Potter process for this London derby and many will raise their eyebrows when seeing they are priced as short as 15/8 with Sky Bet for the away win.

This is a team that have won just once in their last 10 matches across all competitions and have scored just eight goals in their last 14 Premier League games. That price is based on the underlying numbers, which are keeping Potter in a job. His side have won five of the last six expected goals battles, pointing towards improved performances if not results. Joao Felix's brilliance has flickered, Enzo Fernandez looks tailor-made for Premier League football and Chelsea's defence is the second best in the league, measured by goals conceded. With the pressure of playing in front of an expectant Stamford Bridge crowd off their shoulders, I'm happy to play them on the draw no bet market at Evens with Sky Bet.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2

Carabao Cup final: Manchester United vs Newcastle, Sunday 4.30pm, live on Sky Sports

This Carabao Cup final feels more important than most years.

It's been exactly six years since Manchester United last landed a major trophy while Newcastle have not won a major domestic trophy in nearly 68 years. Winning this game could just trigger the start of something very special for both clubs, who have performed above expectations this season.

What has provided the backbone for the two teams this season is their ability to stave off defeats even when performance levels have dropped. In their last 54 games combined both have lost just two games each, including in that run the 0-0 Premier League draw between the teams at Old Trafford.

You get the impression the stakes are so high and occasion so big that this may turn into a "must not lose" type of football match rather than a risk-taking, free-flowing one. I've sat through enough Championship final play-off matches at Wembley to know how such an atmosphere can hinder a game exploding into life.

Six of the last 15 League Cup finals have gone to extra-time - with the last five finals that have gone to extra-time also gone to penalties. This one stands a fantastic chance of going the same way. Take the 5/1 with Sky Bet on either team winning on penalties.