Suns vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, line, spread: 2023 NBA picks, MLK Day best bets from proven model

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Western Conference rivals square off on MLK Day when the Memphis Grizzlies (29-13) host the Phoenix Suns (21-23). Memphis rolls into this contest red-hot, winners of nine straight games. On Saturday, the Grizzlies topped the Indiana Pacers, 130-112. Meanwhile, Phoenix is on an opposite trajectory. The Suns have lost eight of their past nine games. Chris Paul (hip) and Devin Booker (groin) are out for Phoenix. Ja Morant (left hip soreness) is questionable for Memphis.

Tip-off is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET at the FedEx Forum in Memphis. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Grizzlies as a 10.5-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Grizzlies odds, while the over/under for total points is set at 229. Before making any Grizzlies vs. Suns picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Grizzlies and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Suns:

  • Suns vs. Grizzlies spread: Memphis -10.5
  • Suns vs. Grizzlies over/under: 229 points 
  • Suns vs. Grizzlies money line: Memphis -550, Phoenix +400
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win
  • PHO: The Over is 4-1 in the Suns' last five Monday games
  • Suns vs. Grizzlies picks: See picks at SportsLine
MEMPHO

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Guard Ja Morant is an outstanding athlete and facilitator for the Grizzlies. Morant explodes to the rack and can throw it down over any defender. The 2022 All-Star absorbs contact with ease, leading the team in scoring (27.4 points per game) with 5.8 rebounds and 7.9 assists per game. He's scored 30-plus points in seven of his last 11 outings. On Jan. 11, Morant amassed 38 points, five rebounds and four assists. 

Forward Jaren Jackson Jr. can significantly impact the game defensively. Jackson Jr. plays with terrific anticipation and is able to defend the rim well. The Michigan State product also shows good range from the perimeter. He averages 16.5 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.2 blocks per game. On Jan. 9, Jackson Jr. logged 16 points, six rebounds and five blocks. 

Why the Suns can cover

Forward Mikal Bridges is an elite defender who has a combination of length and excellent footwork. Bridges has a smooth jumper and excels as a slasher. The Villanova product is averaging 15.7 points, 4.6 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game. He's finished with at least 24 points in two of his last three games. On Friday, Bridges logged 24 points, six assists and three steals. 

Center Deandre Ayton has been a mobile presence in the frontcourt. Ayton can score from the post and the mid-range with ease. The Arizona product piles up boards, leading the team in rebounds (9.9) with 17.3 points per game. The 24-year-old has recorded 21 double-doubles this season. On Jan. 6, he tallied 23 points and 14 rebounds against the Heat

How to make Grizzlies vs. Suns picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 225 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.