Suns vs Warriors Picks & Odds (Mar. 13)

Warriors win a thriller in OT. pic.twitter.com/KvAgtdd5jZ

Klay Thompson chipped in 22 points on 4-for-9 from downtown, while Donte DiVincenzo added 20 points and 10 rebounds, drilling 6-of-12 from distance.

The Warriors are the 2nd-highest scoring team in the NBA, putting up 118.1 per game. They rank fourth in the NBA from downtown, shooting 38.3%, but on the highest attempts in the league (43.4).

Their trademark passing game is again tops in the league at 29.6 assists per game, but they also turn the ball over at the 2nd-worst rate (16.3).

Phoenix Betting Analysis

Phoenix played Sacramento pretty square through much of the contest, but a game-ending 13-4 run by the Kings resulted in 128-119 loss.

Devin Booker led the Suns with 28 points, adding eight assists and four steals. It was the first time he’d failed to crack the 35-point plateau in his last five games. Deandre Ayton had 22 points and 12 boards, while Chris Paul had 16 points, 16 assists and six rebounds.

While making the Durant trade was a no-brainer, it takes away from the depth the Suns once had. With his injury, it’s only magnified. Four of the five starters played over 35 minutes while Torrey Craig played 28.

Terrence Ross (23) and Ish Wainwright (15) were the only reserves to play significant minutes. Five other bench players logged seven minutes or less.

Phoenix is only 19th in scoring at 113.4 points per game, but they make up for it with a scoring defense that surrenders only 111.2 points per game, the 4th-best mark in the NBA. They are just middle-of-the-pack defending the arc, tied for 13th allowing a 35.8% clip.

Warriors vs Suns Betting Prediction

Golden State’s depth is also thinned, as they’re still without Andrew Wiggins (personal) and Gary Payton II (thigh), though Draymond Green (ankle), Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) and Andre Iguodala (hip) are all probable.

The Warriors are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games vs teams with a losing road record. Their horrendous home-road splits hide the fact GState allows 111.7 points per game at home, a whopping 12 points better than what they do on the road.

While they are 9-7-1 ATS as a road ‘dog, Phoenix hasn’t been a great bet at Chase, going 1-4 ATS in their last five. Lots of teams struggle there, as the Warriors are 18-11-1 as a home favorite.

As was the problem against a high-scoring side like the Kings, Golden State can fill it up, and Monty Williams doesn’t yet trust his non-core to soak up valuable minutes.

With Golden State set to embark on a 5-game road trip — where wins have been at a premium — look for them to take advantage of home court and salvage at least one in this series.