Suns vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors (10-12) are 3-point underdogs against Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (12-10) Tuesday, December 12, 2023 at Footprint Center. The matchup starts at 10:00 PM ET on TNT. The matchup’s over/under is set at 232.5.
Suns vs. Warriors Odds
How to Bet on Suns vs. Warriors
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Suns vs. Warriors?
Suns and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Suns are 5-7 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.
In games this year in which they were an underdog by 3 points or more, the Warriors have a 5-1-1 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 1.9 fewer points per game (230.6) than this matchup’s over/under of 232.5 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 228.1 points per game, 4.4 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.
The Suns’ average point total in matchups this year is 228.0, 4.5 points below the over/under in this game.
The average point total for Golden State this year is 1.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Phoenix’s ATS record is 9-12-1 this season.
The Warriors have a 9-12-1 record against the spread this year.
Suns Stats & Insights
The Suns average 115.1 points per game (12th in the league) while allowing 113.0 per contest (16th in the NBA). They have a +47 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 2.1 points per game.
The Suns win the rebound battle by 2.4 boards on average. They collect 43.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 18th in the league, while their opponents pull down 41.5 per contest.
Phoenix makes 12.3 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.3 on average.
The Suns rank ninth in the NBA with 117.9 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th in the league defensively with 115.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
During the 2023-24 season, the Suns score 4.0 more points per home game on average than on the road (117.1 at home, 113.1 on the road), and are also conceding 3.7 more points per home game compared to road games (114.8 at home, 111.1 on the road).
Warriors Stats & Insights
The Warriors put up 115.5 points per game (11th in league) while giving up 115.1 per contest (20th in NBA). They have a +9 scoring differential.
Golden State records 47.3 rebounds per game (second in league) while allowing 44.0 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.3 boards per game.
The Warriors hit 14.7 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc (13th in NBA). They are making 2.8 more threes than their opponents, who drain 11.9 per game at 34.2%.
The Warriors rank 14th in the league averaging 115.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 16th, allowing 115.2 points per 100 possessions.
At home Golden State is scoring 111.6 points per game, 7.9 fewer points than it is averaging on the road (119.5).
Suns Key Players to Watch
The Suns active leader in points and assists this season is Durant, who scores 31.0 points per game along with 5.8 assists.
Jusuf Nurkic scores 12.2 points per game while adding 9.1 rebounds and 3.8 assists for the Suns.
The Suns get 2.9 three-pointers per game out of Eric Gordon.
Nurkic has collected 1.0 steal and 1.3 blocks per game.
Warriors Key Players to Watch
Curry puts up 29.4 points per game and also tacks on 5.1 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest.
Kevon Looney has per-game averages of 5.7 points, 2.6 assists and 8.4 rebounds this season.
Curry averages 5.1 made threes per game.
The Warriors’ defensive effort gets a lift from Chris Paul’s 1.4 steals and Klay Thompson’s 0.6 blocks per game.
Under (232.5)
Suns 115 – Warriors 114
