Thunder vs. Suns Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Oklahoma City is only a 1-point favorite against Phoenix when the Thunder (34-36) and the Suns (38-32) face off on March 19, 2023 in a game projected to be a tight matchup. A point total of 235.5 is set for the matchup.

Thunder vs. Suns Odds

  • Thunder odds to win: -116
  • Suns odds to win: -104
  • Spread: Thunder (-1)
  • Total: 235.5

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Where: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • TV: BSOK and BSAZ

Who Will Win Thunder vs. Suns?

Thunder and Suns Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games this season they were favored by 1 point or more, the Thunder have a 13-10 record against the spread.

The Suns have a 12-13-2 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 1 point or more.

The two teams average a combined 4.4 fewer points per game, 231.1, than this game’s total of 235.5 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.8 fewer points per game (227.7) than this matchup’s total of 235.5 points.

The average over/under the Thunder have had set in games this year is 1.4 fewer points than this outing’s point total.

The average total for Phoenix’s games this year is 10.8 fewer points than the point total of 235.5 for this outing.

Oklahoma City is 43-26-1 against the spread this season.

The Suns are 35-32-3 ATS this season.

Thunder Stats & Insights

The Thunder average 117.8 points per game (third in the league) while giving up 116.3 per contest (20th in the NBA). They have a +101 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 1.5 points per game.

The Thunder pull down 43.7 rebounds per game (12th in the league) while allowing 46.8 per contest to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 3.1 boards per game.

Oklahoma City connects on 12.3 three-pointers per game (12th in the league), while its opponents have made 13 on average.

The Thunder’s 112.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 14th in the NBA, and the 110.9 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 10th in the league.

The Thunder have been significantly better offensively at home, where they average 121 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 114.4 per game. Defensively, they are better at home, where they allow 115.3 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to score 117.4 per game.

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns put up 113.3 points per game (20th in league) while allowing 111.4 per contest (fourth in NBA). They have a +129 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 1.9 points per game.

Phoenix grabs 44.2 rebounds per game (ninth in league) while conceding 42.7 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 1.5 boards per game.

The Suns hit 12.3 three-pointers per game (12th in the league) at a 37.6% rate (sixth-best in NBA), compared to the 11.6 their opponents make, shooting 35.9% from deep.

The Suns rank 17th in the NBA with 111.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth defensively with 110 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home, Phoenix scores 114.2 points per game. Away, it scores 112.3.

Thunder Key Players to Watch

Josh Giddey has a statline of 16.2 points, 7.9 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander puts up 31.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game.

The Thunder get 2.2 three-pointers per game out of Isaiah Joe.

Gilgeous-Alexander records 1.7 steals and one block on average per game.

Suns Key Players to Watch

Devin Booker tallies 27.6 points per game. He also adds 4.5 rebounds per outing and 5.6 assists per contest.

Torrey Craig has per-game averages of 7.4 points, 1.5 assists and 5.6 rebounds this season.

Damion Lee hits 1.5 threes per game.

The Suns’ defensive efforts get a boost from Chris Paul (1.6 steals per game) and Bismack Biyombo (1.2 blocks per game).

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 1)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (235.5)

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 116 – Suns 114