Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys Tips & Preview

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05 April 2023

Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys Tips & Preview

Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys Predictions

The Roosters and Cowboys square off in a Sunday special at Magic Round. In a game that is tipped to be very one sided, there is not much to support any sort of Cowboy resurgence.

Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys Predictions
Head to Head
Sydney Roosters Form
Sydney Roosters Team News
Sydney Roosters Team List
North Queensland Cowboys Form
North Queensland Cowboys Team News
North Queensland Cowboys Team List

Recent history between these clubs dictates that the Roosters will win and with a large margin. I am backing them in to cover and even pass the 13 point margin. The Cowboys are allowing tries to left side back-rowers and the Butcher boys love a meat-pie.

The draw prediction is simply based on the Monte Carlo model and 34 times the money is worth a sprinkle.

Sydney are 1st in the league in adjusted points scored meaning they have been able to score more points against good defensive teams compared to the average.
North Queensland are last in the league in adjusted points conceded meaning they are allowing points even to bad attacking teams.
The past 5 Roosters wins against North Queensland have all been by more than 13 points.
After 10,000 match simulations the result of the draw appeared twice as often (8%) as a regular match (4%).
The Cowboys have conceded 53% of tries in 2023 down the right side. Conversely the Roosters have scored 42% of their tries down the left.

Head to Head

Sydney have won the last five matchups against North Queensland with margins of 14 points or more in each game.

The last Cowboys win was in July 2019 when they upset the Roosters at home 15-12.

In the two games played in 2022 the Roosters made light work of the Cowboys winning 28-4 and 32-18.

Murray Taulagi scored a try in both games in 2022.

Sydney Roosters Form

The Roosters are firmly entrenched in the top half of the ladder winning five of their eight games played.

Coming off wins over the Dragons and Warriors where the attack at some times stagnated Trent Robinson will be looking to his experienced forward pack to get them on the front foot early against the Cowboys.

The Roosters have allowed 20 or more points in four of their last five games.

Sydney Roosters Team News

Brandon Smith has been named at hooker despite a journey to hospital with a neck complaint. Drew Hutchison will play centre with Paul Momirovski out with a shoulder injury.

Jared Warea-Hargreaves returns after a week's rest and Joey Manu will play in the halves for the third straight week.

Sydney Roosters Team List

1. James Tedesco

2. Corey Allan

3. Joseph Suaalii

4. Drew Hutchison

5. Jaxson Paulo

6. Joey Manu

7. Luke Keary

8. Jared Waerea-Hargreaves

9. Brandon Smith

10. Lindsay Collins

11. Egan Butcher

12. Nat Butcher

13. Victor Radley

Interchange

14. Jake Turpin

15. Angus Crichton

16. Sitili Tupouniua

17. Matt Lodge

Reserves

18. Fletcher Baker

19. Sam Walker

20. Tuipulotu Katoa

21. Billy Smith

22. Nathan Brown

North Queensland Cowboys Form

The Cowboys looked to have turned a corner after winning against the Knights in round 8 but a poor defensive performance last week against the Sharks has cast another shadow over their ability to win games.

The Cowboys allowed 1913 run metres as well as seven linebreaks to the Sharks whilst missing 38 tackles and conceding eight penalties in a show of poor discipline.

North Queensland Cowboys Team News

In a big blow for the Cowboys Jeremiah Nanai has received a four game suspension for a hip-drop tackle. Heilum Luki takes his spot in the backrow returning from a hamstring injury.

Chad Townsend didn’t finish last week’s game and is doubtful for this game. Ben Hampton and Jake Bourke are on the reserves list as backup.

One of the most in-form Cowboys this year, Tom Chester suffered an ACL injury last week against the Sharks and will be out indefinitely. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki is included on the bench.