Top MLB prop picks October 4: Count on a strong day from Michael Lorenzen

The MLB schedule is packed with 18 games. Michael Lorenzen is the top MLB prop pick for October 4.

Michael Lorenzen should have a good day against Oakland Athletics. Austin Riley is always a bet against southpaws and Daniel Lynch rarely pitches more than five innings.

Lorenzen is facing the Athletics on Tuesday. The A's rank 11th in the majors in strikeout rate on the season (23.7%) and they've been significantly worse in last 30 days (26.2%). Lorenzen has a good strike-out-rate in recent starts, and he's leaning on his changeup more than ever before.

Riley is worth 128 on a total bases prop against a left-handed starter. Riley has 100 total base hits in 165 plate appearances against southpaws this season.

Lynch has made it under 15 outs in just nine of his 26 starts this season. He lasted just four innings in his only appearance against the Cleveland Guardians this year.