Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, 2/21/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Buffalo Sabres

Date: Tuesday, February 21, 2023

Location: KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY

TV: MSG Network

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-164) Sabres (+136)

KeyBank Center is the location where the Buffalo Sabres (28-22-4) will compete against the Toronto Maple Leafs (34-15-8) on Tuesday. The odds on this game have Toronto at -164 while Buffalo is sitting at +136. The over/under comes in at 6.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will need a bounce back game after taking a 5-3 loss against the Blackhawks in their previous contest . The Maple Leafs had a middle of the road offensive outing in this defeat. In the game, they were able to notch a goal on 3 of the 35 shots they put on net. They also had 2 chances with extra men on the ice and were able to notch 1 goal. Toronto garnered 6 penalty minutes for this game.

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While at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed 119 goals while earning 149 on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have amassed 174 power play tries (16th in the league) and have racked up 33 goals in those attempts. With respect to their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have tallied 194 goals (7th in the league) for the season and have conceded 152. Toronto has taken 1,846 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.5%. For the current campaign, they sit with 76 points and their points percentage is .667. The Maple Leafs thus far have had 1,652 shots attempted against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .908. Toronto has 177 power play opportunities and they have tallied 45 goals out of those attempts, earning them a rate of 25.42%.

The player between the pipes for this game is Ilya Samsonov. The opposition has scored 293 goals against Samsonov in his pro hockey career and his average for goals against per game is 2.70. Samsonov has been in goal for 117 matchups during his pro hockey career. His save percentage currently sits at .906 during his 6,507 minutes played. He has accumulated a mark of 71-29-10 and he has gotten the start in 106 games. Over the course of his pro career, Samsonov has accumulated 50 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .472. Samsonov has had 3,101 shots taken against him and has accrued 2,808 total saves.

In their last contest, Buffalo faced the Sharks in a matchup where the Sabres earned a victory by a mark of 4-2. The Sabres scored 4 goals out of the 31 shots on goal they took. They had 1 power play attempt in this one but weren't able to finish one of them with a goal.

Buffalo has attempted 1,751 shots (19th in pro hockey) and has a shooting percentage of 11.42%, while allowing the opposition 1,757 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 72.96% on their opponents 159 power play chances, and their save percentage currently sits at 89.4%. They have a total of 188 opportunities on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 25.00%. The Sabres have racked up 153 goals at even strength and 47 goals (5th in the league) while having more men on the ice. They have permitted 186 goals to be scored by way of 143 goals at even strength and 43 goals while they had less men on the ice. This season, the Buffalo Sabres have tallied 200 goals, 60 points, as well as a points percentage of .556.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen in goal. Luukkonen is the owner of a career record of 17-15-4 and has participated in 36 games. Luukkonen's quality start percentage comes in at 44.4% and he has accumulated 16 quality starting assignments in his career. He has recorded 1,076 saves out of the 1,192 shots tried, giving him a percentage of .903. Opponents are averaging 3.30 goals per contest and he has given up 116 goals overall. He has made the start in 36 games and has played for a total of 2,111 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take Toronto (-164)

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Additional Resources:
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