Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 3/18/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-143) Senators (+120)

Canadian Tire Centre is where the Ottawa Senators (33-31-4) will play the Toronto Maple Leafs (40-18-9) on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has the Maple Leafs at -143 while the Senators are at +120. The over/under is 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a decent effort after finishing in a 1-1 tie against the Avalanche their last time out. Toronto compiled 10 penalty minutes in this contest. The Maple Leafs didn't have their best offensive outing in this game. Additionally, they had 3 chances on the power play but weren't able to score. In the game, they finished 1 of the 18 shots they put on net.

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When it comes to scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have racked up 227 goals (10th in the league) on the campaign and have given up 179. For the year, they have recorded 89 points and their points percentage comes in at .664. Toronto steps onto the ice with 202 power play chances and they have tallied 51 goals during those advantages, garnering them a percentage of 25.25%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs let the opposition score 140 goals while scoring 176 on offense. Toronto has taken 2,140 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.6%. The Maple Leafs so far have had 1,935 shots attempted against them and hold a save percentage of .907. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have earned 202 power play opportunities (19th in professional hockey) and have scored 39 goals in those attempts.

The player guarding the cage in this matchup is Ilya Samsonov. Opponents have been able to score 307 goals against Samsonov in his career and his goals against average per game is 2.68. Samsonov has been involved in 123 games over the course of his professional hockey career. His save percentage is at .906 for his 6,871 minutes on the ice. He has accumulated an overall record of 75-30-11 and he started in 112 games. Over the course of his time in hockey, Samsonov has accounted for 55 quality starts and his quality starts percentage sits at .491. Samsonov has seen 3,279 shot attempts against him and he has 2,972 total saves.

When they were on the ice last, Ottawa faced the Avalanche in an outing where the Senators went home in defeat by a mark of 5-4. They had 5 power play attempts in this game and recorded 2 out of those chances. The Senators tallied 4 goals of the 36 shots on goal they were seeking.

Ottawa has taken 2,247 shots (7th in the league) and has a shot percentage of 9.43%, while allowing their opponents 2,152 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 82.59% on their oppositions 247 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 89.6%. They have earned 258 chances on the power play and they have a power play rate of 23.64%. The Senators have tallied 151 goals at even strength and 61 goals (3rd in hockey) while on the power play. They have allowed 223 goals to be scored by way of 180 goals at even strength and 43 goals while they had less men on the ice. So far this year, the Ottawa Senators have accumulated 212 goals, 70 points, as well as a points percentage of .515.

Across the rink you will find Mads Sogaard in net. Sogaard is the owner of a career mark of 6-5-1 and has participated in 13 contests. Sogaard's rate of quality starts comes out to 41.7% and he has 5 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He has recorded 311 stops out of the 352 shots tried, which gives him a save percentage of .884. The opposition is averaging 3.40 goals per game and he has conceded 41 goals altogether. He has made the start in 12 games and his ice time sits at 724 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-143)

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