Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction, 12/11/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders

Date: Monday, December 11, 2023

Location: UBS Arena in Elmont, NY

TV: MSG

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-125) Islanders (+104)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (14-6-4) are on their way to UBS Arena on Monday where they will compete against the New York Islanders (12-7-7). The moneyline on this matchup has the Maple Leafs at -125 while the Islanders are at +104. The total is 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs were on the right side of the scoreboard with a 4-0 victory over the Predators in their previous game. Toronto garnered 11 penalty mins for this game. In addition, they had 5 power play attempts and notched 1 goal. The Maple Leafs had a good offensive outing and it showed in the win. For the outing, they were able to notch a goal on 4 of the 37 shots they launched.

While at even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 61 goals while getting 63 on offense. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have recorded 77 power play tries (27th in hockey) and have earned 15 goals in those attempts. In relation to their scoring capabilities, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 80 goals (19th in the National Hockey League) for the year and have given up 76. Toronto has taken 767 shots and is the owner of a shooting percentage of 10.4%. For the current season, the have a total of 32 points and their points percentage comes in at .667. The Maple Leafs have had 776 shots attempted against them and have a save percentage of .902. Toronto has 72 power play chances and they have notched 17 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 23.61%.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Ilya Samsonov. Over the course of his pro career, Samsonov has tallied 65 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .500. His save percentage is at .906 for his 7,921 minutes guarding the cage. Samsonov has seen 3,790 shots taken against him and has recorded 3,435 total saves. The opposition has scored 355 goals versus Samsonov in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.69. He has amassed an overall record of 84-33-16 and he started in 130 games. Samsonov has played in 142 matchups throughout his NHL career.

In their last outing, New York opposed the Kings in a matchup where the Islanders earned a win by a tally of 3-2. They had 4 power play opportunities in this game but weren't able to notch a goal. The Islanders notched 3 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they took.

The Islanders have earned 60 goals at even strength and 18 goals (15th in the league) while having a power play advantage. New York has tried 777 shots (20th in professional hockey) and has earned a shot percentage of 10.04%, while allowing the other team 932 shots. For the year, the New York Islanders have earned a total of 78 goals, 31 points, as well as a points percentage of .596. They have allowed 82 goals to be scored by way of 61 goals at even strength and 21 goals while they had less men on the ice. They have earned 73 chances on the power play and they have accumulated a power play percentage of 24.66%. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 74.07% on their opponents 81 power play opportunities, and their save percentage currently sits at 91.2%.

On the other side of the ice you are likely to see Ilya Sorokin patrolling the crease. He has compiled 4,302 stops out of 4,665 shots attempted, which gives him a save % of .922. Sorokin has accumulated a career mark of 77-50-24 and has been in net for 153 games. He has been a starter 150 games and has been on the ice for 8,969 minutes. Sorokin's percentage of quality starts is 69.3% and he has qualified for 104 quality starts in his career. The opposition is averaging 2.43 goals per game and he has relinquished 363 goals in total.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto (-125)

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Additional Resources:
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