Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders Prediction, 3/21/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Islanders

Date: Tuesday, March 21, 2023

Location: UBS Arena in Elmont, NY

TV: MSG

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-125) Islanders (+105)

The Toronto Maple Leafs (42-18-9) are traveling to UBS Arena on Tuesday where they will meet the New York Islanders (36-27-8). The line on this contest has the Maple Leafs at -125 while the Islanders are sitting at +105. The total is set at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs had a decent effort after finishing in a 4-4 tie against the Senators in their last outing. Toronto recorded 6 minutes in the box in this game. Furthermore, they had 2 chances on the power play and were able to score 1 goal. The Maple Leafs had a impressive offensive performance in this game. While out there on the ice, they finished 4 out of the 29 shots they put on goal.

When it comes to scoring goals, the Toronto Maple Leafs have earned 236 goals (9th in the league) for the year and have surrendered 185. For the current campaign, they have racked up 93 points and their points percentage sits at .674. Toronto is sitting with 205 power play chances and they have scored 53 goals out of those chances, garnering them a rate of 25.85%. At even strength, the Maple Leafs have allowed the opponent to score 145 goals while earning 183 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto has taken 2,193 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.8%. The Maple Leafs thus far have had 2,021 shots tried against them and have earned a save percentage of .908. Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have 208 power play opportunities (18th in the league) and have racked up 40 goals in those attempts.

The man in net for this game is Ilya Samsonov. During his career on the ice, Samsonov has accrued 56 quality starts and his rate for quality starts is .496. He has a save percentage of .907 for his 6,931 minutes in the crease. Samsonov has seen 3,313 shots against him and has accrued 3,004 total saves. Opponents have been able to score 309 goals versus Samsonov in his career and his goals against average is 2.67. He has accumulated a mark of 76-30-11 and was named the starter in 113 games. Samsonov has been in net for 124 contests over the course of his NHL career.

In their last game, New York squared up with the Sharks in an outing where the Islanders earned a win by a score of 4-1. They had 5 chances on the power play in this game and scored 1 out of those opportunities. The Islanders recorded 4 goals out of the 33 shots on goal they tried.

New York has tried 2,168 shots (19th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 9.59%, while allowing the opposition 2,229 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill percentage of 82.09% on the other teams 201 power play tries, and their save percentage currently sits at 91.4%. They have earned 200 chances on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 16.50%. The Islanders have scored 175 goals at even strength and 33 goals (30th in hockey) while having a power play advantage. They have permitted 191 goals to be scored by of a combination of 155 goals at even strength and 36 goals while they were shorthanded. This season, the New York Islanders have earned 208 goals, 80 points, as well as a points percentage of .563.

For the opposition you are expected to see Ilya Sorokin protecting the net. Sorokin has earned a lifetime record of 64-43-17 and has been in goal for 126 contests. Sorokin's quality start rate comes out to 70.7% and he has qualified for 87 quality starting assignments in his pro career. He has racked up 3,489 saves out of 3,777 shots attempted, which gives him a save percentage of .924. His opponents are averaging 2.35 goals per game and he has given up 288 goals altogether. He has been a starter 123 games and has played 7,358 mins.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony's Pick: Take New York (+105)

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