Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction, 4/1/2023 NHL Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Location: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON

TV: TSN5

Odds/Point Spread: Maple Leafs (-138) Senators (+115)

Canadian Tire Centre is where the Ottawa Senators (37-33-5) will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs (44-20-10) on Saturday. The line on this matchup has the Maple Leafs at -138 while the Senators are sitting at +115. The total comes in at 7.

The Toronto Maple Leafs will be looking to get a win in their next outing after their 3-2 defeat to the Panthers in their previous game. Toronto tallied 10 minutes in the box in this matchup. Moreover, they had 4 chances on the power play but weren't able to convert one of them into a goal. The Maple Leafs didn't have their best offensive outing in this defeat. In the game, they finished 2 out of the 40 shots they attempted.

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Toronto Maple Leafs opponents have tallied 223 power play tries (19th in the league) and have a total of 44 goals in those attempts. The Maple Leafs have had 2,167 shots taken against them and hold a save percentage of .906. Toronto has tried 2,365 shots and has a shooting percentage of 10.7%. While playing at even strength, the Maple Leafs have surrendered 160 goals while scoring 196 on the offensive side of the ice. Toronto comes into the game with 222 power play chances and they have notched 56 goals out of those tries, giving them a percentage of 25.23%. For the current season, they have earned 98 points and their points % is .662. When it comes to their goal scoring prowess, the Toronto Maple Leafs have notched 252 goals (9th in the league) for the season and have conceded 204.

The man protecting the goal in this game is Matt Murray. Murray has been involved in 271 games over the course of his NHL career. He has accumulated a mark of 146-86-24 and got the start in 263 games. The opposition has scored 716 goals against Murray in his pro career and his average for goals against per game is 2.79. Murray has seen 8,009 shot attempts taken against him and he has 7,293 saves. He has a save percentage of .911 for his 15,409 minutes guarding the cage. Over the course of his career, Murray has accumulated 139 quality starts and his quality starts percentage is .529.

In their last game, Ottawa faced the Flyers in a game where the Senators got the victory by a final of 5-4. They had 3 power play chances in this one and notched 1 out of those opportunities. The Senators tallied 5 goals out of the 46 shots on goal they pursued.

So far this season, the Ottawa Senators have a total of 239 goals, 79 points, as well as a points percentage of .527. They have allowed 243 goals to be scored by way of 194 goals at even strength and 49 goals while they had less men on the ice. The Senators have earned 170 goals at even strength and 69 goals (2nd in the league) while on the power play. They have earned 279 opportunities on the power play and they have earned a power play rate of 24.73%. Ottawa has put up 2,497 shots (7th in hockey) and has a shot percentage of 9.57%, while allowing the other team 2,374 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 81.72% on their oppositions 268 power play chances, and their save percentage currently comes in at 89.8%.

For the opposition you are likely to see Mads Sogaard in net. His opponents are averaging 3.17 goals per contest and he has allowed 51 goals overall. Sogaard's quality start percentage comes in at 50.0% and he has 8 quality starts in his pro career. He has started in 16 games and has been on the ice for 965 minutes. Sogaard is the owner of a career record of 8-6-2 and has played in 17 contests. He is sitting with 428 stops out of 479 shots attempted against him, which gives him a save percentage of .894.

Who will win tonight's NHL game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh's Pick: Take Toronto (-138)

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