UFC 284 Odds & Picks, See Our Full UFC 284 Preview Here

The UFC’s world tour continues as the promotion stops in Perth, Australia for UFC 284 – and its main event is one of the best we’ve seen in years.

Islam Makhachev (23-1, 12-1 UFC) will defend his lightweight title for the first time against Alexander Volkanovski (25-1, 12-0 UFC), the UFC’s featherweight king who fancies a crack at double-champ status. The card takes place February 11 with prelims beginning at 6 p.m. ET and the main card commencing at 10 p.m.

The odds are steep – Makhachev is a staunch -400 favorite in the main event. Volkanovski comes in as the +310 underdog.

UFC odds and our standard UFC betting news pageHow To Bet on UFC page. 

UFC 284 Betting Odds Analysis

We take a quick dive into the UFC 284 odds for the main event.

Makhachev vs Volkanovski Line Movement 

The odds for this fight have stayed pretty steady. On most sportsbooks, Makhachev opened in October as a -400 chalk, while Volkanovski opened around +300. That line has stayed true over the past few months, with Islam increasing as steep as -425 but always settling back around -400. 

Makhachev vs Volkanovski Value Check

Since the UFC 284 odds are so lopsided for the main event, our value check is pretty one-sided. Makhachev is used to chalk – he’s been favored in all 13 UFC fights. There was sweet value on Islam at UFC 280, where he was -190 vs Charles Oliveira, but other than that, it’s been a well of heavy chalk (average -558 favorite in last five bouts). 

Conversely, I see this as immense value on Volkanovski, which we’ll discuss later. The featherweight champ has never lost (while Islam has one KO loss). Anything in the +300 range will represent the longest odds of the Aussie’s career. He’s also 3-0 as the underdog in his UFC career, touting wins over Max Holloway (+145 at UFC 245), Jose Aldo (+110 at UFC 237) and Chad Mendes (+100 at UFC 232). 

UFC 284 Betting Odds & Fight Card

Islam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski Odds & Pick

Our odds calculator suggests Makhachev’s -400 status equates to an implied win probability of 80 percent, meaning a $10 bet on him pays out $12.50. Volkanovski’s +310 underdog status gives him an implied win probability of 24.39 percent, and a $10 bet on him pays out $41. 

Makhachev: Need To Knows

Volkanovski: Need To Knows

Pick: Volkanovski to win (+310); OVER 2.5 Rounds (TBD)

Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett Odds & Pick

Fans at UFC 284 get a double-dipping of title action, as Yair Rodriguez (14-3, 9-2 UFC) takes on Josh Emmett (18-2, 9-2 UFC) for the interim featherweight championship. 

Rodriguez: Need To Knows

Emmett: Need To Knows

Pick: Rodriguez to win (-170); UNDER 4.5 Rounds (+155)

Jack Della Maddalena vs Randy Brown Odds & Pick

Rising star Jack Della Maddalena (13-2, 3-0 UFC) will grace the main card in a welterweight fight vs Randy Brown (16-4, 10-4 UFC). 

Brown: Need To Knows

Della Maddalena: Need To Knows

Pick: Della Maddalena by KO/TKO (TBD); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (-155) with Dart Throw UNDER 1.5 Rounds (TBD)

Justin Tafa vs Parker Porter Odds & Pick

A heavyweight bout between hometown favorite Justin Tafa (5-3, 2-3 UFC) and Parker Porter (13-7, 3-2 UFC) will take place on the UFC 284 main card.

Tafa: Need To Knows

Porter: Need To Knows

Pick: Tafa to win (-145); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (-145)

Jimmy Crute vs Alonzo Menifield Odds & Picks

The main card begins with a banger at light heavyweight between Alonzo Menifield (13-3, 6-3 UFC) and Jimmy Crute (12-3, 4-3 UFC).

Crute: Need To Knows

Menifield: Need To Knows