UFC 288: Kron Gracie vs. Charles Jourdain Betting Prediction

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UFC 288: Kron Gracie vs. Charles Jourdain Betting Prediction

Another massive event is set to take place for the UFC this weekend. UFC 288 will be coming to you from New Jersey and there is a stacked card of fights for MMA fans to enjoy, and bet on. Opening up the main card we have legendary Kron Gracie making his comeback to the octagon after almost 4 years. He is going up against the tough Canadian fighter Charles Jourdain.

Read further for a Gracie vs Jourdain betting analysis and prediction before you finalize your betting slate this weekend. 

Kron Gracie vs Charles Jourdain

Location of the game: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey.

Date and Time: May 6, 2023. 10 PM ET.

How to Watch: ESPN+

Gracie is making his UFC return, with his last fight being in 2019. Where he lost to the legendary Cub Swanson via unanimous decision.

Jourdain is trying to bounce back from two-straight tough losses to stellar fighters Shane Burgos and Nathaniel Wood.   

Gracie comes from the long, legendary lineage of the Gracie family. He carries along their tradition of being some of the best Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioners to ever live. He has a 5-1 professional MMA record, with all 5 wins coming via submission.

Kron Gracie has a lot of question marks coming into this fight week. With almost 4 years away from competing, is he going to be in the same condition as he was in 2019? He has a big disadvantage in the striking department. He is averaging about 5 significant strikes landed per minute, while absorbing over 8 per minute. Will Gracie’s unorthodox style give Jourdain troubles?

Even after dropping two-straight losses, Jourdain is still a dangerous fight for anybody in the featherweight division. He has a 13-6-1 record with 12 finishes. The only time Jourdain has gotten finished was by submission (Brabo Choke) by Julian Erosa in 2021. 

Jourdain’s game plan has to be to stay out of the grasp of Gracie and keep the fight standing. Every minute this fight remains on the feet, Jourdain’s odds of winning increase. His 48% takedown defense will be put to the test on Saturday night. 

No injuries have been reported to the UFC or New Jersey Athletic Commission. 

If you are a true MMA fan, when you saw Kron Gracie on the UFC schedule, you must have gotten really excited. Whenever you can watch a direct reactive to the UFC pioneer Royce Gracie, and someone with the BJJ background of Kron, it is going to be a fun night. 

Gracie is the +165 underdog, as Jourdain is the -190 betting favorite heading into this weekend. A Gracie vs Jourdain betting preview wouldn’t be finished without breaking down the available props. 

The most interesting prop is the over/under set at 2.5 rounds, with the over at +160. The oddsmakers are basically telling us that this fight shouldn’t go the distance. 

Outside of betting lines, the only big question in this preview is how Gracie will look after almost 4 years away from the octagon. The true fans will be waiting for this fight and will be interested to hear what his plans are for his career and UFC next fight.

UFC predictions are so difficult to make. This promotion is the best because of their reputation of matchmaking the best against the best every single weekend. If you look at the odds for this event, you won’t see any crazy betting favorites–and it seems like there is a handful of -1000 favorites on every boxing card.

  • The final Gracie vs Jourdain betting prediction is that Jourdain gets his hand raised this weekend.

It’s too risky to bet on Gracie here; he is 4 years older, and Jourdain is hungry and ready to die in the octagon. 

This is going to be an example of the younger generation of fighters being too much for an older guy that doesn’t live and breathe the sport. Jourdain is going to be able to handle the awkward style, and punish Gracie on the feet every minute that this fight isn’t on the ground.

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