UFC Fight Night 225: Holloway vs. Sung Jung odds, picks & predictions

Sportsbook Wire
 
UFC Fight Night 225: Holloway vs. Sung Jung odds, picks & predictions

In a 5-round featherweight bout in the main event, Max Holloway and Chan Sung Jung meet at UFC Fight Night 225 — also known as UFC Singapore — at Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore, on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 225: Holloway vs. Sung Jung odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Holloway (24-7-0) | Sung Jung (17-7-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 5 a.m. ET, while the main card starts at 8 a.m. ET on ESPN+.

Holloway bounced back from a title shot loss at UFC 276 to stop Arnold Allen by unanimous decision last time out in mid-April. That’s 8 consecutive decisions for “Blessed”, with 4 wins and 4 losses along the way. To be fair, 3 of those setbacks were against Alexander Volkanovski, one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the game.

Sung Jung, better known as “The Korean Zombie”, also met a similar fate against Volkanovski last time out, suffering a 4th-round KO/TKO setback at UFC 273 in April. He has also been stuck in neutral across his past 8 bouts, winning 4 and losing 4, with 3 of the setbacks via knockout.

Holloway stands 4 inches taller than the Zombie, while Sung Jung holds a 3-inch reach advantage. Holloway enters the octagon with a tremendous 7.16 significant strikes landed per minute (LPM), while Sung Jung checks in with a paltry 3.97 LPM, However, Zombie is slightly more accurate at 49.39% than Holloway at 49.07%.

As far as the ground game is concerned, Sung Jung scores a few more takedowns at 0.74 on average compared to a 0.28 takedown average for Holloway, and he also has a slight 0.65-to-0.31 submission average advantage over Blessed.

Holloway’s last stoppage came 9 fights ago in a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage win for the title at UFC 231 over Brian Ortega on Dec. 8, 2018.

The Korean Zombie has gone the distance in 2 of his past 3 bouts, losing to Ortega in mid-October 2020 and topping Dan Ige in June 2021.

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UFC Fight Night 225: Holloway vs. Sung Jung odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:11 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 255: Holloway vs. Sung Jung picks and predictions

Holloway (-800) will cost you 8 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive for a straight-up bet. Even as part of a multi-fighter parlay, that’s just too much risk and not enough reward.

However, if you like the heavy favorite you should look to the METHOD OF VICTORy – 7-WAY:HOLLOWAY BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 1 1/2 times. Holloway has gone the distance in 8 consecutive fights, so it’s a good bet that when he wins, the judges will be involved.

YES (+130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? seems like a tremendous value given the fact Holloway has gone the distance in each of his past 8 fights. Generally, you don’t see plus-money odds with streaks like that. It’s even more surprising considering the fact The Korean Zombie has gone the distance in 2 of the past 3 bouts.

That’s a tremendous value, but Over 2.5 Rounds (-225) is not worth playing, costing you more than 2 times your potential return.