UFC Fight Night 233: Bobby Green vs. Jalin Turner odds, picks and predictions

In a 3-round lightweight bout on the main card, Bobby Green and Jalin Turner meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 233 — also known as UFC on ESPN 52 — at the Moody Center in Austin. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's around the UFC Fight Night 233: Green vs. Turner odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 4 p.m. ET, while the main card begins on ESPN/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET.

Records: Green (13-7-0) | Turner (31-14-1)

Green takes the walk with 2 straight wins, including a 33-second KO/TKO in Round 1 against Grant Dawson last time out in early October. Prior to that he tapped Tony Ferguson at UFC 291. Each of his past 4 fights have ended up finishing inside the distance, with 3 KO/TKO results, a submission and also a no contest against Jared Gordon on April 22. This is his 5th fight since Dec. 17, 2022.

Turner, a.k.a. "The Tarantula", has suffered a pair of split-decision losses to Mateusz Gamrot and Dan Hooker in his past 2 events. Prior to that he had 5 straight wins, including 2 KO/TKO and 3 submission victories.

Green holds a slight 6.15-to-5.82 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, while he is also slightly more accurate at 54.90% to 52.55% for Turner.

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UFC Fight Night 233: Bobby Green vs. Jalin Turner odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:58 a.m. ET.

UFC Fight Night 233: Bobby Green vs. Jalin Turner picks and predictions

TURNER (-184) is a good play straight up on the 2-way line. He holds an overwhelming 6-inch reach advantage, which will allow the favorite to push and pull Green (+154) in and out, picking and choosing his spots to strike rather carefully. When he doesn't want Green next to him, he'll be able to use the reach advantage to hold him at bay.

If he elects to pass on a toe-to-toe upright battle, Turner is a tremendous grappler, and he holds a 1.27-to-0.32 submission average advantage. As far as method of victory, taking TURNER BY SUBMISSION (+500) allows you a chance to multiply your initial wager by 5 times.

NO (-168): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little on the pricey side, but it's worth a roll of the dice. I think Turner is able to tap Green here, so why not also play this prop.

However, not a huge fan of the Total Rounds, as Over 1.5 Rounds (-182) is just way too expensive, and Under 1.5 (+142) is not nearly enough time, although it obviously is the more attractive play and better value.

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