Vikings vs. Bills Week 10 picks and odds: Bet on Buffalo’s defence to help cover small spread

Buffalo Bills host Minnesota Vikings on Sunday at Highmark Stadium.

Josh Allen or Case Keenum will start for the Bills against the Vikings. Buffalo has a 7-1 record and is expected to win.

Bills are the favorite to cover the 2.5-point spread against Vikings. Their defence is strong, especially with Matt Milano back and Jordan Poyer and Greg Rousseau out. Minnesota's defence ranks poorly, and the Vikings are also not very good on the field. The Vikings' quarterback is Keenum, who has a good record as a game manager.

The under 44 points is the favourite for the Vikings and Bills. The under has come through in three of Minnesota's four road games. The over has hit or pushed in 40 of Keenum's 64 career starts and in six of his last seven.

The Vikings and Bills are two of the best first-half defences in the league. Minnesota is sixth in opponent first half points against (8.9) this year, while Buffalo ranks 10th (10.1). The under is the play across the board.