Warriors vs. Hawks prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, March 25 best bets from proven computer model

Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks host the Golden State Warriors on Friday at 7:30 p.m. ET. Stephen Curry is out for the Warriors, while Andre Iguodala is questionable. John Collins is injured for Atlanta, and Bogdan Bogdanshi is a questionable. Caesars Sportsbook lists Atlanta as a 2.5-point home favorite. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored is 222. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,00 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons.

Golden State Warriors host Atlanta Hawks on March 25. The Warriors are 16-11-1 against the spread in non-conference games. Atlanta is 10-17 against-the-spread in its last 17 non conference games against NBA teams.

Warriors vs. Hawks is a non-conference game. The Warriors are 16-11-1 against the spread in non conference games. Atlanta is 10-17 against spread against teams in which it has a winning record.

Golden State has the better defense in this matchup. Atlanta ranks in the bottom five of the NBA in defensive rating. The Warriors force 14.6 turnovers per game and secure 73.7 percent of available defensive rebounds. The Hawks produce only 12. 6 second-chance points per games against Golden State.

Golden State Warriors are 3-6 without Stephen Curry this season. The Hawks are highly effective on the offensive side, scoring 114.3 points per 100 possessions. Atlanta commits the fewest turnovers in the NBA, giving the ball away on only 12.1 percent of possessions and generating more than two assists per turnover.

The model is leaning over on the total and projecting 229 combined points for Warriors vs. Hawks. It's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in 60 percent of simulations.