Warriors vs. Kings Betting Analysis & Predictions

predictem.com

07 April 2023

Warriors vs. Kings Betting Analysis & Predictions

Golden State Warriors (42-38 SU, 37-42-1 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (48-32 SU, 44-35-1 ATS)

When: Friday, April 7th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: GS -6/Sac +6 (Why bet on games at -110 when you only have to lay -105 at BAS?)

Total: OFF

Money Line: Golden State Warriors -241/+195

Notable Injuries

Warriors

Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
Andrew Wiggins (Out) Personal
Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot

Kings

Matthew Dellavedova (Out) Finger
Trey Lyles (Questionable) Shoulder
Domantas Sabonis (Questionable) Ankle
De’Aaron Fox (Questionable) Ankle
Malik Monk (Questionable) Lower Leg
Kevin Huerter (Questionable) Injury Management
Davion Mitchell (Questionable) Knee
Keegan Murray (Questionable) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Golden State is 42-38 overall. When taking to the road, Golden State has a mark of 9-30 and a win percentage of 23%. Currently, the team is 6th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 37-42-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 2-3 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS.

In their previous game, the Golden State team emerged victorious against the Thunder, winning by a margin of 7 points as predicted. Stephen Curry shone for the Warriors, scoring 34 points on a shooting percentage of 44.0%. The Warriors not only won the game but also successfully covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Sacramento is 48-32 overall. When playing at home, Sacramento has a mark of 23-17 and a win percentage of 57%. Currently, the team is 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 44-35-1 vs. the spread. In Sacramento’s last five games, the Kings have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 5-5 ATS.

Sacramento most recently lost to the Mavericks by a score of 123-119. The team high 28 points from De’Aaron Fox was not enough to come home with the win. The Kings were 7-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Warriors picked up a 130-125 win over the Kings. However, heading into the game, Golden State was favored to win by 10.0 points, giving the Kings an ATS victory. So far this season, the Warriors have a record of 2-1 vs. the Kings. Although the Kings have the better ATS mark across the previous five head-head matchups at 4-1, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Golden State, as they averaged 119 points per game while allowing 112. Golden State and Sacramento averaged a combined 231 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-2-1.

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Analysis

This season, Golden State is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 118.5 points per game. So far, the Warriors are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.7 possessions per game. The Warriors have been able to put together a strong offensive attack despite sitting just 3rd in 3-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are among the league leaders in attempts at 43.2 attempts per game. Defensively, the Warriors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 105.46 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.92%.

Jordan Poole is the top scorer for the Warriors, with an average of 20.6 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 43.1%. Stephen Curry is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 29.6 points per game.

This season, Sacramento is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 121.3 points per game. So far, the Kings are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.7 possessions per game. Sacramento’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 9th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.1%. The defense has been a struggle for Sacramento, as they currently allow 115.77 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 37.05% of their looks from the outside.

Injuries are a key storyline going into the game for Sacramento, as their number one and number two scorers are in jeopardy of missing the game. So far, De’Aaron Fox is averaging 25.2, which is good for the top mark on the team. Behind him is Domantas Sabonis at 19.2 points per contest.

Betting Trends

The Warriors are 16-38-1 ATS in their last 55 road games.
The Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
The Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight-up loss.
The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Warriors have smoked three of their last four opponents and are getting hot at the right time. I’m laying the -5.5 with Golden State. Question: Do you live bet sports? Most online bookies have clunky, crappy live wagering platforms with low limits and they take too damn long to process wagers! We highly recommend checking out the live betting offered at Bovada Sportsbook! You’ll love it! They give you a 50% real cash bonus up to $250 and rebates on ALL your bets too! !