Washington Football Mailbag: Lights Out Edition

Washington needs to win the conference and pass 2 teams from the Pac-12 South to get to the championship game. The chances of that happening are about 6%. The odds of finishing second in the league are 1 in 20,000. The most realistic scenario for Washington is to finish 7-2 and have the head-to-head tiebreaker. In that case, the team that finishes second is going to play the Huskies. It's a very narrow path. There are 5 teams still mathematically alive. Out of 2,056 scenarios for games involving the 5 remaining contenders, only 5 where Washington wins the conferences.