White Sox odds, picks, predictions: Best bet for White Sox vs Yankees (June 7)

Chicago Tribune
 
White Sox odds, picks, predictions: Best bet for White Sox vs Yankees (June 7)

On Tuesday, the ChiSox pulled off a huge series-opening victory at Yankee Stadium, with Liam Hendriks recording his first save since beating Cancer.

It’s hard to back up a feel-good win like that.

Still, we haveWhite Sox vs. Yankees predictions for Wednesday’s game.

Unfortunately, I expect the White Sox to struggle in this spot.

Odds via FanDuel, current at time of writing and subject to change.

Moneyline: White Sox (+102) vs. Yankees (-120)

Spread: White Sox +1.5 (-192) vs. Yankees -1.5 (+158)

Total: Over 8.5 (-118) | Under 8.5 (-104)

(7:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network)

I don’t feel super confident in Randy Vasquez, New York’s starting pitcher for Wednesday. While he boasts a plus-plus, high-spin curveball, he has yet to figure out how to maximize his entire arsenal, and his numbers at Triple-A this year aren’t excellent by any stretch.

However, I feel even less confident in Lance Lynn, Chicago’s starting pitcher for Wednesday.

Lynn has seen his advanced metrics drop annually for four straight seasons, and he’s now working with an ERA in the mid-6.00s and an expected ERA in the mid-5.00s. I have little confidence in his fastball, his command has been shaky, and he’s got a home-run problem – he gave up three to the Angels last time out, one to Mike Trout and a pair to Shohei Ohtani.

I make this starting pitching matchup close, but I give the advantage to the Yankees in every other area of the game.

For starters, the Yankees have the better, more well-rested bullpen. New York rested almost all its high-leverage arms on Tuesday, while the White Sox had to use their three best relievers in the win (Hendriks, Kendall Graveman, Joe Kelly).

The Yankees also have the lineup advantage. While the Yankees do project much worse without Judge, the White Sox are simply incapable of hitting against right-handed pitching, so I’d give almost any offense an advantage over the Southsiders in this situation.

Finally, the Yankees are the much-better defensive team.

So, altogether, I’ll take my shot with the Yankees as short home favorites, as I think they can win this one despite Vasquez on the mound. The Action Network App’s PRO model projects the Yankees as (-134) ML favorites, while BallParkPal’s model projects them as (-194) ML favorites, so the value is definitely with New York.

Also, I’m always happy banking on the home team looking to bounce back off a series-opening loss.

Yankees ML (-120) | Play to (-125)