Chicago White Sox Odds Today: Predictions and Picks for White Sox vs. New York Yankees (June 6)

It’s been a brutal season for the ChiSox, yet they find themselves only 5.5 games out of the AL Central after winning four of the past five games. The Sox have a huge challenge coming up, so we haveWhite Sox vs. Yankees predictions for Tuesday.

The Yankees are fresh off a series win over the Dodgers, meaning both teams are playing solid baseball entering this three-game set.

But, for us, where does the betting value lie?

Odds via FanDuel, current at time of writing and subject to change.

Moneyline: White Sox (+118) vs. Yankees (-138)

Spread: White Sox +1.5 (-162) vs. Yankees -1.5 (+134)

Total: Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105)

• Read our expert rankings of the best sports betting sites here.

(7:05 p.m. ET, YES)

Despite an underwhelming start to his career, I still believe in Clarke Schmidt. He has impressive pitching model statistics, including a 109 Stuff+ rating based on a hard, sweeping slider that generates loads of Whiffs.

Stuff+ tries to estimate the “nastiness” and overall quality of pitchers’ pitches, regardless of the results. If he continues posting well-above-average stats in that department, results will eventually follow for the 27-year-old right-hander.

So, while Lucas Giolito and Schmidt have nearly identical statistics (4.50 expected ERA), I am much less confident in the former’s abilities. Gio checks in with a 94 Stuff+ rating, including a rough 86 Stuff+ rating on his fastball -- i.e., I don’t expect better results to follow.

Meanwhile, Schmidt has a much easier matchup today. The White Sox hit well against left-handed pitching but are one of the worst lineups in baseball against right-handed pitching - the Southsiders boast a brutal .588 OPS against the right side since mid-May.

The Bronx Bombers are obliterating right-handed pitching now that everyone is healthy, recording a 115 wRC+ against the side over the past month. This matchup doesn’t bode well for Gio.

Both bullpens are fully rested, but I have much more confidence in the Yankees’ pen than in the White Sox’s. I love New York’s relief core of Clay Holmes, Michael King, Wandy Peralta and Ian Hamilton and I believe the four headline a top-10 MLB bullpen.

Throw in home-field advantage and the Yankees’ top-10 defense, and New York ML looks like a smash spot here. I’m actually surprised to see this line under (-150), considering all the advantages the Yankees hold.

For what it’s worth, BallParkPal’s model makes the Yankees a nearly (-200) ML favorite in this game, and I’m inclined to agree. I’d smash the Yankees at (-150) or better and reduce my risk up to (-175).

New York Yankees ML (-138) | Play to (-150)