Wisconsin vs Ohio State Prediction: Against the Spread Best Bet, Week 4

This season I'll be breaking down college football's biggest games each week and giving out at least one bet I like from each matchup.

Wisconsin and Ohio State are playing each other in The Horseshoe. Wisconsin is a slight favorite.

Wisconsin's conservative, pro-style offense faces a tough test against Ohio State. Graham Mertz has taken a traditional dropback at the nation’s highest rate (74%)

Ohio State has the 10th highest pressure rate on non-blitzes this year. Wisconsin's pro-style offense and Ohio State's production with standard pressure is a potentially deadly combo for Mertz.

Wisconsin will try to run the ball and control the clock to limit Ohio State's possessions. In the loss to Washington State, the Badgers’ running backs gained just 1.8 yards before contact per attempt.

Wisconsin's defense is second in the Big Ten with a 21% ball-hawk rate. C.J. Stroud is completing 81% of his passes to five different receivers when throwing 15-plus yards downfield. Wisconsin has seven interceptions through three games.

Wisconsin hasn't covered the spread in Columbus since an upset victory in 2004. Ohio State's defense is improving under new coordinator Jim Knowles.