World Cup Betting Guide for Wednesday 11/23/22: Can Germany and Belgium Win and Cover?

The World Cup is a difficult tournament to project. Team samples are small, injuries are crucial and opponent adjustments must be made before projecting out World Cups.

Croatia and Morocco are playing each other in a World Cup qualifier. Morocco won all their CAF qualifying matches by at least two goals. Croatia won their qualifying games by a different margin. The only preferred play is the Croatia moneyline. The algorithm has their win odds at 65.6%.

Japan and Germany are in Group E. Germany won their qualifying with a 36-4 goal differential. Japan went 8-0-1 in qualifying and their adjusted goal difference is +2.42. In recent friendlies, Japan beat Paraguay, the United States and Brazil and lost to Canada.

Costa Rica is playing Spain in a friendly match on Wednesday. Spain is heavily favored (-700) and is a favorite to win the match. Costa Rica qualified through the CONCACAF-OFC playoff by beating New Zealand 1-0. The best play here is rating out as under 2.5 goals.

Belgium is ranked fifth in the FIFA World Rankings. Canada is 25th. Belgium won UEFA section qualifying with five goals from Romelu Lukaku. The over (2.5 goals) is listed at -136.