Yair Rodriguez vs Josh Emmett Pick, 2/11/2023 Predictions UFC 284 Odds

RAC Arena in Perth, Western Australia

Saturday, February 11, 2023

Yair Rodriguez will take on Josh Emmett at UFC 284 on Saturday, February 11, 2023. The opening line has Rodriguez at -155 while Emmett is at +135.

Yair "El Pantera" Rodriguez walks into the cage holding a record of 15-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Josh "CC0" Emmett comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-2-0. The 37-year-old stretches 70". Regarding significant strikes, Yair Rodriguez lands 4.67 per min and Josh Emmett is connecting on 4.28 significant strikes per min. Rodriguez lands 45% of the significant strikes he throws and Emmett is connecting on 37%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "El Pantera" takes 4.12 significant strikes per min and "CC0" takes 4.29. Rodriguez also defends against 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Emmett defends against 63% of the shots thrown.

In the wrestling category, Yair Rodriguez is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.83 times per 3 rds. Rodriguez is finishing his takedown attempts on 28% of the times he tries and thwarting 62% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Emmett is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 58% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Rodriguez is the more skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Emmett attempts 0.1 finishes per 3 rds.

In his last bout, Yair Rodriguez fought Brian Ortega and took home the win by a shoulder injury in round 1. Ortega landed 26 of 39 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Rodriguez finished this fight landing 48 of 76 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ortega landed 22 of 35, giving him a percentage of 62%. He ended up landing 18 of 30 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Rodriguez landed 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 23 of 46. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 18 of 41 pointed at the head. 68% of the significant strikes landed by Ortega and 91% of them landed by Rodriguez were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Josh Emmett, he squared up with Calvin Kattar and wound up taking home the victory via split decision in round 5. Kattar landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Emmett ended up landing 99% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Emmett ended up landing 32% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 107 of 332. He ended up connecting on 73 of 286 significant strikes to the head. Kattar ended up connecting on 130 of 375 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 114 of 351 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Kattar landed 131 of 376 while Emmett connected on 107 of 332 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Jack Della Maddalena opposes Randy Brown. Della Maddalena will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-2-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The switch fighter has an arm span of 73". Brown stands 6'3" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-4-0. The 32-year-old stretches 78". In terms of takedowns, Jack Della Maddalena takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds and Randy Brown takes his opponents to the canvas 0.69 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Della Maddalena lands an average of 8.45 strikes per min and landing 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Randy Brown, who connects on 48% of the strikes he has tried and lands 4.38 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Parker Porter is set to enter the Octagon with Justin Tafa. Tafa walks into the cage with a mark of 5-3-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 264 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 74". Porter comes in at 6'0" and weighs in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 13-7-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding wrestling, Justin Tafa is able to stop 85% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries. Porter is finishing his takedowns on 28% of the attempts he tries and deflects 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Tafa is absorbing 5.94 strikes/minute while he dishes out 5.02 strikes/min. Porter, on the other hand, absorbs 6.32 strikes per minute and dishes out 6.49 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Josh Emmett (+135)

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