2023 MLB Draft Lottery odds, how it works
The new MLB collective bargaining agreement struck ahead of the 2022 campaign called for a draft lottery beginning in 2023. The change was made to discourage tanking.
The field for the first ever MLB draft lottery is set.
The Washington Nationals are not guaranteed to be the first overall pick in the MLB draft lottery. The lottery has weighted odds ranging from 16.5% to below 0.25%. The three worst teams tied for the best odds will be awarded the top six picks.
All 18 non-playoff clubs will enter a lottery for the top six picks in the 23rd MLB Draft.
The Nationals, Oakland Athletics and Pittsburgh Pirates have the best lottery odds at 16.5%. The Milwaukee Brewers have just a 0.23% chance at the No. 1 pick.
The draft lottery order only applies to the first round. The order of teams within each group is determined by revenue-sharing status and then by inverse order. For Rounds 2-20, the non-playoff teams will be sorted by reverse order from the regular-season standings.
The 2023 MLB Draft Lottery is expected to take place during the Winter Meetings in San Diego sometime in early December.
