2023 Washington Commanders win total picks: Best bets, odds

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2023 Washington Commanders win total picks: Best bets, odds

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It’s a new era for the Washington Commanders.

Entering its second season under the current name and fresh off the sale of the team to the Harris Group, there's renewed hope for a Washington fanbase welcoming a new start in 2023.

Will the franchise reset propel the Commanders to its first winning season since 2016?

As the season nears, let's turn our attention toward our 2023 Washington Commanders win-total best bets.

2023 Washington Commanders win total picks: Bet over or under on 6.5 wins 

After tallying a respectable 8-8-1 record last season in the gauntlet of the NFC East, the Washington Commanders sit as potential cellar dwellers in the win/loss futures. While they were able to retain defensive line fixture and Pro Bowler Daron Payne courtesy of a four-year, $90 million deal, the Commanders will feature a new quarterback in either Sam Howell or Jacoby Brissett.

Adjusting to a new offensive scheme can grind new quarterbacks to gristle until they’re comfortable, so it’s easy to see why the futures line was set at 6.5 wins. Four games apiece against the double-digit winning Eagles and Cowboys doesn’t help matters, either.

The Commanders sit at 24th in the NFL in strength of schedule, a season slate that includes tilts against the Buffalo Bills and San Francisco 49ers — each division winners in 2022.

The Commanders sit at -120 to win fewer than 6.5 games and -110 to win more — essentially a pick ’em.

With the daunting divisional docket and a handful of difficult games on deck, the Under seems more likely — especially given the change at quarterback.

It may be a reformation season in Washington, but the Commanders will have a heavy lift in what’s shaping up to be another arduous run through the NFC East.

2023 Washington Commanders win total picks

Win/loss total aside, if you’re looking to wager on Washington Commanders odds you should consider the below markets:

2023 Washington Commanders best bets: Brian Robinson Jr. Over 6.5 rushing TDs (+550 or better)

The second-year running back has breakout potential in 2023. He missed the first four games of his rookie year to recover from gunshot wounds, so nobody really knows what to expect from the young running back — especially at the goal line.

Washington Commanders futures odds: Terry McLaurin Under 899.5 receiving yards (-120 or better)

With a new quarterback in the fold in either Howell and Brissett, it may be tough sledding for Washington receivers like Terry McLaurin. 

The Ohio State produce has topped 1,000 receiving yards in three of his first four seasons, but you should factor in an emergence of 2022 first-round pick Johan Dotson and the unsettled QB situation if you wager on McLaurin in 2023. 

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Catena Media provides exclusive sports betting content to FrontPageBets, including picks, analysis, tools and sportsbook offers to help bettors get in on the action. Please wager responsibly.

Carter Breazeale is a contributor for Catena Media with a focus on sports, business and the business of sports. An Atlanta native currently residing in Orlando, Carter graduated from The University of Central Florida. He’s appeared in Catena’s PlayGeorgia, SB Nation’s The Falcoholic, and The Orlando Business Journal.