A key to long-term college football betting success, and an upset call on an ACC favorite

Summarized by: Live Sports Direct
 

It's week 3 of the college football season. Doug Lesmerises and I are betting on the games. Last week's picks went 4-1, bringing the season total to 7-3. Best bets went 2-0 last week. Lesmersises is now 22-17-2 on season and 384-297-18 since the 2019 college season started.

The Ohio State defense hasn't allowed a touchdown since the first half of Week 1 against Notre Dame. The Buckeyes are playing their first team in the 1st half against Toledo.

The ACC favorite is the best bet of the week.

North Texas is on the money line +125. UNLV is getting 60% of the dollars wagered in this game. In games where the line moved 3.5 points or more in favor of North Texas, the betting expert has gone 14-6 (70%) in his favor.

Memphis is a favorite against Arkansas State. The game is under 65 points. 87% of the money is on the over. In 10,000 simulations, the game went under the 65-point total 61% out of 10.

Baylor vs. Texas State is a college game. The total opened at 47.5, but it has risen to 53 since Wednesday. It's a good number to be sitting under 51 points.

The ACC favorite is upset.

Texas Tech travels to North Carolina State this week. The Wolfpack is favored by 10 points at +300. Texas Tech is ranked in the top 30 in my offensive ratings. I project this game at around a touchdown.  A wonky special teams play or some turnover luck cashes this long shot ticket.

Sports betting is not a get-rich-quick opportunity. A key to long-term college football betting success is an upset call on an ACC favorite.

Bankroll management is the strategy by which you allocate your money on a given bet. My advice is to bet the same amount on every game. Flat betting is best way to minimize your losses. A key to long-term college football betting success is an upset call on an ACC favorite.

If you or a loved one has questions about gambling, call the Ohio Problem Gambling Helpline at 1-800-589-9966 or the National Council on Program Gifting Helprine (NCPG) at 1/800/522-4700.


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