Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions Week 14: Picks & Odds for TNF
The anytime touchdown scorer predictions market gives and takes throughout the NFL season, and it did plenty of the latter in Week 13. We hope to start the bounce back with our ATD predictions based on the best NFL odds for Week 14's Thursday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers.
We've fallen back to a 0.85-unit profit for the 2023 NFL season with our anytime touchdown scorer predictions after a (capital R) Rough Week 13.
That slide started when Noah Fant's touchdown at +700 odds on TNF last week was called back. We're now charged with trying to turn around our fates with the Week 14 Thursday Night Football matchup between the New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers.
It's a good thing this column is all about the challenge because the 30-point betting total on Thursday is the lowest we've seen all season.
To help with your Patriots vs. Steelers predictions and Patriots-Steelers NFL player props, here is our best anytime touchdown scorer prediction for Thursday Night Football.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 14: Thursday Night Football
Patriots vs. Steelers anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Ezekiel Elliott, NE, RB (+220 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
As the 30-point betting line implies, we can't expect many points on Thursday night. We're adding to the tall order by targeting the Patriots as 6-point road underdogs.
We're targeting the Pats because we're getting a mispriced line on running back Ezekiel Elliott, who's projected for 0.4 touchdowns. According to our odds converter, that 40% implied probability should translate to odds of +150. However, most of the best NFL prop betting sites are above that number with FanDuel's +220 odds being the best in the market.
Giving us hope is that the strong Steelers' defense has somewhat surprisingly allowed 10 total touchdowns to running backs. Elliott is also sure to get the lion's share of work in a New England backfield missing Rhamondre Stevenson on Thursday, with Ty Montgomery and JaMycal Hasty slated as the complementary pieces.
It won't be pretty, as it hasn't been for Elliott for much of this season, but we like his ATD odds on Thursday due to his expected volume usage.
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