Fight Night: Volkov vs Romanov Betting Analysis and Prediction
With yet another consecutive weekend filled on the UFC schedule, MMA fans are in for a treat with this stacked Fight Night card. This is bringing it back to the old days of free-to-watch Fight Night events that had great cards of some of the top fighters in the UFC competing.
Let’s take a deep dive into this co-main event heavyweight bout and come up with a Volkov vs Romanov prediction for this weekend.
Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov Information
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Volkov vs Alexandr Romanov
Location: The Theater at Virgin Hotels, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.
Date and Time: Saturday,March 11, 2023, 6:00 PM ET.
Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov Last Fight Record
Volkov is coming off a big-time first-round TKO victory over the dangerous Jairzinho Rozenstruik in June of 2022.
Romanov is trying to bounce back from a loss to Marcin Tybura this past August.
Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov Betting Analysis
Alexander Volkov Facts to Know
Volkov has turned himself into an all-time great in the heavyweight division. The Russian martial artist has held world heavyweight titles in both M-1 Global and Bellator MMA. Those are two of the biggest fight promotions outside of the UFC. At age 34, he has plenty of time to regroup and make another run at the heavyweight title.
The 6’7” Volkov has tons of experience being in the cage with some of the most dangerous men in the world. He averages 4.88 significant strikes landed per minute while only absorbing 3.04; wildly impressive striking numbers for a man of his size in the heavyweight division.
The big man will need to work on his 71% takedown defense against the relentless wrestling of Romanov this weekend. Along with 23 KOs in his career, Volkov also has a sneaky three submissions under his belt.
Alexandr Romanov Facts to Know
Romanov has an impressive 16-1 professional MMA record, coming off his first career loss in August. Out of his 16 wins, Romanov has six KOs and nine submissions. His UFC analytics seem to be showing that Romanov is one of the most dominant fighters on the roster, on paper.
The Moldovan heavyweight brings a high-pressure style into the octagon with relentless wrestling and power in his hands. Romanov has very one-sided statistics in both striking and grappling. He is averaging 3.78 significant strikes landed per minute and only absorbing 1.86.
Romanov’s grappling numbers jump off the page, with him averaging 5.18 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 62% rate. He will keep the takedowns coming in the early rounds of the fight.
Updates
No injuries were reported to the NSAC.
Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov Betting Preview
As we are breaking down this co-main event fight in the UFC this weekend, we need to keep the betting lines in mind while coming up with a prediction.
Volkov is interestingly a +130 underdog, according to UFC odds. The former M-1 and Bellator world champion seems to be falling off in the oddsmakers’ eyes. Romanov is the -155 favorite on the other side of the cage.
The over/under is set at 1.5 rounds for this 3-round event. Volkov isn’t very used to not fighting in a main event, so he will need to remember to start with more urgency than usual. This game plan worked in his last fight when he scored a first-round TKO.
The most interesting betting line for this bout is the +200 odds for the fight to go the distance. Both men have a ton of power, but they only need to last 15 minutes. Those odds seem wrong when we have a fight between a very intelligent, rangey striker and a wrestler.
With the long legs of Volkov, it will look like an easy test for Romanov to pass to take him down. Volkov has been working in the gym for years now on wrestling and submission defense; he will be prepared.
Making a Volkov vs Romanov prediction is very difficult with the two entirely different fighting styles they both bring to the octagon.
Alexander Volkov vs. Alexandr Romanov Betting Prediction
This is a very important fight for the UFC heavyweight division. Everyone is going to want their shot at Jon Jones, so the division all of a sudden becomes a group of hungry fighters that want to beat the best.
Volkov is in a gatekeeping position for this weekend. If Romanov can beat him, then he can start dipping into the top 10 rankings. This is a massive risk for Volkov to take against a lower-ranked guy, but no one has ever said Volkov wasn’t a savage.
For the final Volkov vs Romanov prediction, we are going to have to go with Volkov getting his hand raised. The over 1.5 rounds look very nice as well, but with these big humans swinging around 4-ounce gloves, it seems like a massive risk.
Volkov is going to be able to use his range and kicks to keep Romanov at distance. If Volkov can defend a few takedowns early, this fight goes heavily in his favor. The underdog odds are too good not to take the former world champion.
We know how tough UFC predictions are to make, and you can’t overthink every pick. Volkov has almost everything over Romanov besides age and wrestling. Volkov has been in the cage with some of the best to ever do it, and he will be prepared to find a way to win against Romanov.
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