UFC Fight Night Mexico: Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega Prediction

The best MMA company in the world is back in Mexico this weekend on the UFC fight schedule and arguably the most exciting upcoming UFC fight is this co-main event rematch bout between top Mexican featherweights Yair Rodriguez and Brian Ortega.

Rodriguez vs. Ortega Picks

• Pick: Rodriguez ML -150.

Continue reading for the official Rodriguez vs Ortega prediction ahead of placing any bets on this week’s MMA slate, including the latest insights into scores and odds.

Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega Information

Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega

Location of the fight: Mexico City Arena, Mexico City, Federal District, Mexico

Date & Time: February 24, 2024.10 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Rodriguez is coming off attempting to unify his interim title and lost to Alexander Volkanovski via third-round TKO at UFC 290 in July.

Ortega is making his return to the octagon for the first time since suffering a brutal shoulder injury in a TKO loss to Rodriguez in July 2022.

Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega Betting Analysis

Yair Rodriguez

With 8 TKO/KO wins and 5 submissions, Rodriguez, a Mexican mixed martial artist, holds a record of 19-4. At the age of 31, he has taken home nine post-fight bonuses in the UFC, won The Ultimate Fighter: Latin America tournament, and is a former UFC interim featherweight champion.

Rodriguez is a 5’11” switch stance fighter with a 71” reach. In the octagon, he averages 4.63 significant strikes landed per minute and absorbs 4.07 per minute. He also mixes in an average of 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a modest 59% takedown defense.

Brian Ortega

Ortega is an American mixed martial artist of Mexican heritage and has a professional MMA record of 15-3 with 3 TKO/KO victories and 7 submissions under his belt at the age of 32. He won an RFA featherweight title before signing with the UFC, where he now has collected seven post-fight bonuses and is the #4 ranked featherweight contender–challenging for the world title twice.

Possessing a first-degree black belt in BJJ, “T-City” is 5’8″ tall with a reach of 69″, and proficient in switching stances. He averages 4.19 significant strikes landed per minute in the octagon while absorbing 6.66 significant strikes per minute. He mixes in 0.95 takedowns per 15 minutes and has a 1.2 submission average.

Updates

Reports from the UFC or ESPN indicate no injuries.

Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega Betting Preview

This Rodriguez vs Ortega prediction might help you win UFC bets this weekend, but if you want to learn how to bet on the UFC, you should figure out how to preview the betting lines and study tape on fighters.

According to the current UFC odds available at BetUS, Rodriguez is coming in as the -150 betting favorite over the +130 Ortega. This featherweight bout is favored to end inside the distance at -200 as well. The over/under is set at 2.5 rounds–remember that this is a 5-round co-main event.

Stylistically, this should be an awesome fight for fans to enjoy. Their first meeting was cut short due to Ortega’s shoulder popping out while escaping an early armbar attempt on the ground.

In their first meeting, Ortega used his normal tactics; pressuring forward to get his opponent against the cage where he could get in on a takedown or land power shots of his own. Rodriguez had the speed advantage and was experiencing a lot of success on the outside landing clean shots.

All the question marks seem to be around Ortega and how he is going to look. He hasn’t been very active since 2018 and now with almost two years away from competing with a bad shoulder injury, you have to wonder how he’s going to perform.

Rodriguez vs. Ortega Best Bets and Prediction

This fight alone could be a main event for any card that would have fight fans marking it down as a must-watch on the UFC schedule. This is just an extra main event for fans around the world, especially in Mexico.

In our Rodriguez vs Ortega prediction, we anticipate Rodriguez securing the win and celebrating with a raised hand.There are too many factors and questions surrounding this matchup to bet on anything specific, so the -150 moneyline for Rodriguez is the perfect play for good value.

The speed advantage is the biggest reason behind this bet. At what point will Ortega’s granite chin turn against him? Will the time outside of the cage hurt his performance at this high of a level? It would be irresponsible to bet against Rodriguez this weekend.

• Pick: Rodriguez ML -150.

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