Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction & Picks

WLOX

22 February 2023

The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-17-3) take on the Buffalo Sabres (28-23-4) at Amalie Arena on Thursday, February 23 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+, BSSUN, and MSG-B. The Lightning knocked off the Anaheim Ducks 6-1 in their most recent game, while the Sabres are coming off a 6-3 loss to the Toronto Maple Leafs.

Over the last 10 contests, the Lightning are 6-2-2. They have totaled 33 goals, while allowing their opponents to score 24. They have gone on the power play 34 times during that span, and have capitalized with seven goals (20.6% of opportunities).

To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to bring home the win in Thursday's hockey game.

Lightning vs. Sabres Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final score of Lightning 4, Sabres 3.

Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-225)
Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
Computer Predicted Spread: Lightning (-1.8)

Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning have gone 7-3-10 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 36-17-3.
Tampa Bay is 9-3-1 (19 points) in its 13 games decided by one goal.
In the seven games this season the Lightning registered only one goal, they've finished 1-6-0 (two points).
Tampa Bay has lost all six games this season when it scored two goals.
The Lightning are 35-5-2 in the 42 games when they have scored three or more goals (to record 72 points).
In the 22 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it registered 31 points after finishing 15-6-1.
When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 21-9-2 (44 points).
The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 23 games, going 14-8-1 to register 29 points.

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Time and TV Channel

When: Thursday, February 23, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
TV Channel: ESPN+, BSSUN, and MSG-B
Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida

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