Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins odds, picks and predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (84-53) visit the Miami Marlins (71-67) in Wednesday’s middle game of a 3-game series. First pitch at loanDepot park is slated for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: tied 2-2

Los Angeles dropped the series opener 6-3 and is just 1-4 over its last 5 games. The Dodgers have been exceptional on the road in the second half. Tuesday’s setback in South Beach marked only L.A.’s 7th away from home since the All-Star break.

The Marlins are 5-0 since Thursday. Over that span, Miami has averaged 7.40 runs per game on the strength of a high-contact .913 OPS.

Dodgers at Marlins projected starters

RHP Lance Lynn vs. RHP JT Chargois

Lynn (10-10, 5.81 ERA) makes his 28th start this season. He has a 1.40 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 through 155 IP for the Dodgers and Chicago White Sox.

• Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 7 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 8-7 home loss vs. Atlanta Braves Thursday
• 2023 road stats: 6-5, 5.75 ERA in 81 1/3 IP across 14 starts
• Last 5 starts vs. Marlins: 2-2, 3.62 ERA in 27 1/3 IP (2014-18)

Chargois (1-0, 3.78 ERA) is tabbed for his 2nd start and 36th appearance. He owns a 1.23 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 33 1/3 IP across.

• Last start: No-decision, 1 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 1 K in 2-1 win vs. Washington Nationals Aug. 27
• 2023 Home stats: 0-0, 2.45 ERA in 18 1/13 IP across 1 start and 17 relief appearances
• Has never faced the Dodgers as a starter
• Expected to serve as a 1-inning opener for the Marlins. RHP Edward Cabrera may be called up from Triple-A and is a likely bulk hurler behind Chargois

Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

Dodgers at Marlins odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:47 a.m. ET.

Dodgers at Marlins picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Marlins 4

The Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.00 Units, 20% ROI).

Miami pitching does not have its best foot forward in this one, as the Fish are expected to use a bullpen game. Lynn is likely still a bit undervalued as he’s been pitching to softer contact of late and a good September finisher in recent years, so we get what should be at least a -170 line at a discount.

The Marlins figure to be overvalued by a 28-12 mark in 1-run games. The opposite is true for the Dodgers. a powerful club that is just 14-13 in such games.

FanDuel Sportsbook has the best value here: TAKE THE DODGERS (-158).

Look for +105 or better if you want the Dodgers minus the cushion. Otherwise, PASS.

Indicators point to the Dodgers as being a tad overcooked with their offensive numbers and the Marlins a bit undercooked with theirs, so no value there. The pitching for this game does not have much leverage either way, so a STEER CLEAR is recommended.