Mets vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The New York Mets (37-46) and San Francisco Giants (46-37) meet on Sunday at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.

The Mets are projected as a tight favorite (-118 on the moneyline) against the Giants (-102). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.

The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of July 2, 2023 at 5:20 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Mets vs Giants Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 29, or 50.9%, of those games.
• New York is 26-27 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of 84 games with a total.
• The Mets are 33-51-0 ATS in their 84 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Giants Betting Insights

• The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (58.1%) in those games.
• This season, San Francisco has been victorious 19 times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Giants have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of its 83 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Giants have posted a record of 45-38-0 against the spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

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Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson

• Peterson’s team is 3-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The left-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
• Peterson has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• In nine appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
• When Peterson starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-4.
• Peterson’s team has won two of his nine starts.
• Games started by Peterson have a 5-3-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Giants Probable Pitcher – Ross Stripling

• Stripling makes the start for the Giants, his seventh of the season. He is 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA and 29 strikeouts through 35 1/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance was out of the bullpen on Wednesday when the right-hander tossed three innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• Stripling will try to pick up his fourth outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 3.5 innings per appearance.
• He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
• The Giants have a 2-2 record in Stripling’s four starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Stripling’s team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
• Stripling has had six starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and four of those matchups hit the over.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Mets Hitting Trends

• The Mets have a 12-15 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
• New York has gone 7-4 in its 11 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
• The team is 29-19 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
• New York has a 28-15 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Mets are 7-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 19-14 in those matchups.
• San Francisco has won 12 of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 33-16 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 43 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 30-13.
• They have a 18-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mets vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-118)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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