Mets vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The New York Mets (17-18) and Cincinnati Reds (14-20) clash on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, beginning a three-game series at Great American Ball Park.

As the favorite, the Mets (-162 moneyline odds to win) visit the Reds (+137). The contest has a set total of 10.5.

The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of May 9, 2023 at 7:21 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Mets vs Reds Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 13, or 50%, of the 26 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 14 games this season favored by -162 or more and is 6-8 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 61.8% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• Games involving New York has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 16 of 36 chances this season.
• The Mets are 15-21-0 against the spread in their 36 chances this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Reds Betting Insights

• The Reds have been victorious in eight, or 34.8%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win two times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +137 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 18 of its 34 opportunities.
• In 34 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 20-14-0 against the spread.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

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Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson

• Peterson’s team is 2-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The left-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Friday, April 28 in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
• Peterson has started six games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 5.0 innings per appearance.
• Peterson’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
• Peterson’s team has won one of his six starts.
• In games Peterson has started this season, the teams are 3-3-0 at hitting the over.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver

• Weaver (0-2 with a 7.88 ERA and 19 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Reds, his fourth of the season.
• In his most recent outing on Tuesday, May 2 against the San Diego Padres, the right-hander went 4 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
• Weaver will look to collect his third matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
• The Reds have been the moneyline underdog in three of Weaver’s starts this season, and they went 1-2 in those games.
• Weaver’s team has won one of his three starts.
• Weaver has started three games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in two of them.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Mets Hitting Trends

• The Mets are 6-3 this season in games when they send out two or more long balls.
• New York has had at least five extra-base hits in six games this season, and has gone 4-2 in those contests.
• The team has collected eight or more hits 18 times this season, and has an 11-7 record in those games.
• New York is 14-4 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Mets have gone 6-3 over the nine games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

• They are 3-2 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Cincinnati has gone 2-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have won nine of the 21 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• Cincinnati has won 11 of its 13 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• They have a 5-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Mets vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+137)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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