Pirates vs. Mets odds, tips and betting trends

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Pirates vs. Mets odds, tips and betting trends

In the final game of a three-game series at PNC Park, the New York Mets (31-34) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (33-30), Sunday at 1:35 PM ET.

The Mets are an underdog (+111 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Pirates (-130). The starting pitchers are Mitch Keller (7-2) for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and Carlos Carrasco (2-2) for the New York Mets.

These squads meet again after the Mets’ 5-1 victory over the Pirates yesterday. Kodai Senga (7.0 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 6 K) registered the win for the Mets. Francisco Alvarez went 1-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead the team on offense. Johan Oviedo (6.1 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 5 K) took the loss on the mound for the Pirates.

To prepare for this Pirates vs. Mets matchup, here is everything you need to prepare for Sunday’s MLB action, including viewing options.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets Odds and Betting Lines

Tipico Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 9:20 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

  • Favorite: Pirates (-130, bet $130 to win $100)
  • Underdog: Mets (+111, bet $100 to win $111)
  • Over/under: 8.5

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Pirates Stats and Trends

Pirates Betting Records

  • The Pirates have entered the game as favorites 17 times this season and won 11, or 64.7%, of those games.
  • Pittsburgh has a record of 8-6 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 56.5% chance to win.
  • Pittsburgh and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of its 63 games with a total this season.
  • The Pirates are 33-30-0 ATS in their 63 games with a spread this season.

Mitch Keller (Pirates Probable Starter)

  • Keller makes the start for the Pirates, his 14th of the season. He is 7-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 80 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Tuesday against the Oakland Athletics, the righty threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.60, with 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents are hitting .239 against him.
  • Keller is looking to record his ninth quality start of the year.
  • Keller will try to build on a 13-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 innings per appearance).
  • In two of his appearances this season he did not give up an earned run.
  • He meets a Mets offense that ranks 15th in the league with 289 runs while batting .241 as a squad. It has a collective .397 slugging percentage (17th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 78 home runs (10th in MLB).
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.60), 34th in WHIP (1.175), and seventh in K/9 (10.6) among pitchers who qualify.

Pirates Batting Stats

  • The Pirates have hit 59 homers this season, which ranks 25th in the league.
  • Hitters for Pittsburgh have combined for a team rank of 14th in the majors with a .405 team slugging percentage.
  • The Pirates’ .248 batting average ranks 14th in the league this season.
  • Pittsburgh has scored the 18th-most runs in the majors this season with 281 (4.5 per game).
  • The Pirates have an OBP of .327 this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.
  • Pittsburgh has shown patience at the plate this season with the seventh-best rate of strikeouts per game (8.3) among MLB offenses.

Mets Stats and Trends

Mets Betting Records

  • The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win six times (31.6%) in those games.
  • New York has a win-loss record of 1-7 when favored by +111 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 30 of its 64 opportunities.
  • In 64 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 24-40-0 against the spread.

Carlos Carrasco (Mets Probable Starter)

  • Carrasco (2-2 with a 5.94 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 36 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mets, his eighth of the season.
  • The righty’s last appearance was on Tuesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he went five innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 36-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.94, with 5.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .257 against him.
  • Carrasco is trying to record his third quality start of the season.
  • Carrasco will look to build on a six-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing).
  • So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered one or more earned runs in each of his appearances.
  • The opposing Pirates offense has the 14th-ranked slugging percentage (.405) and ranks 25th in home runs hit (59) in all of MLB. They have a collective .248 batting average, and are 21st in the league with 517 total hits and 18th in MLB play scoring 281 runs.

Mets Batting Stats

  • The Mets rank 10th in baseball with 78 total home runs.
  • So far this season, New York is 17th in baseball, slugging .397.
  • The Mets rank 20th in the majors with a .241 batting average.
  • The offense for New York is the No. 15 offense in baseball, scoring 4.4 runs per game (289 total runs).
  • The Mets rank 14th in baseball with an on-base percentage of .320.

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  • Game Day: Sunday, June 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Stadium: PNC Park
  • TV Channel: MLB.tv
  • Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)