Pirates vs. Guardians odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

18 July 2023

Pirates vs. Guardians odds, tips and betting trends

The Pittsburgh Pirates (41-53) will host the Cleveland Guardians (46-48), Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET, with the Pirates on a four-game losing skid.

The Pirates (-113 moneyline odds to win) take the field against the Guardians (-107) in an expected close contest. The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Pittsburgh Pirates looking to Mitch Keller (9-4), and Logan Allen answering the bell for the Cleveland Guardians.

Yesterday, the Guardians claimed an 11-0 victory over the Pirates, with Michael Kelly (1.2 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 K) registering the win for the Guardians. Josh Naylor finished 2-for-5 with a double, a home run and three RBI to lead the offense. Quinn Priester (5.1 IP, 7 R, 7 H, 2 K) picked up the loss for the Pirates.

Here is what you need to prepare for Tuesday’s Pirates vs. Guardians action, including viewing options.

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians Odds and Betting Lines

Tipico Sportsbook. Odds updated Tuesday at 3:26 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Pirates (-113, bet $113 to win $100)
Underdog: Guardians (-107, bet $107 to win $100)
Over/under: 8.5

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Pirates Stats and Trends

Pirates Betting Records

This season, the Pirates have been favored 20 times and won 12, or 60%, of those games.
Pittsburgh has a record of 11-8, a 57.9% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by bookmakers this season.
The Pirates have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 47 of its 94 chances.
The Pirates are 42-52-0 against the spread in their 94 chances this season.

Mitch Keller (Pirates Probable Starter)

Keller (9-4) is aiming for his 10th win when he takes the mound for the Pirates in his 20th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.31 ERA in 117 2/3 innings pitched, with 129 strikeouts.
In his most recent appearance on Saturday, July 8 against the Arizona Diamondbacks, the right-hander threw seven scoreless innings while surrendering one hit.
The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.31, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are batting .223 against him.
Keller has 12 quality starts under his belt this season.
Keller will try to prolong a 19-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.2 innings per outing).
He has had three appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
He meets a Guardians offense that ranks 27th in the league with 385 runs while batting .250 as a unit. It has a collective .378 slugging percentage (26th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 67 home runs (30th in MLB).
The 27-year-old ranks 20th in ERA (3.31), 21st in WHIP (1.128), and 17th in K/9 (9.9) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Pirates Batting Stats

The Pirates rank 27th in Major League Baseball with just 83 home runs as a team.
Hitters for Pittsburgh have combined for a team rank of 25th in the majors with a .381 team slugging percentage.
The Pirates’ .237 batting average ranks 21st in the league this season.
Pittsburgh has scored 388 runs (just 4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 26th in MLB.
The Pirates have an OBP of .313 this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.
Pittsburgh is ranked 14th in strikeouts per game (8.6) among MLB offenses.

Guardians Stats and Trends

Guardians Betting Records

The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (40.5%) in those games.
This year, Cleveland has won 16 of 39 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 39 of 93 chances this season.
In 93 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 48-45-0 against the spread.

Logan Allen (Guardians Probable Starter)

Allen makes his first start of the season for the Guardians.
The southpaw is making his MLB debut. He’s 24 years old.
The Pirates rank 26th in runs scored in the league (388) this season and are batting .237 while hitting 83 home runs (27th in the league).

Guardians Batting Stats

The Guardians are last in MLB action with 67 home runs.
So far this year, Cleveland is slugging .378, the fifth-lowest percentage in the majors.
The Guardians have the 16th-ranked batting average in the majors (.250).
Cleveland scores the fourth-fewest runs in baseball (385 total, 4.1 per game).
The Guardians are 20th in the majors with an on-base percentage of .314.

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