UFC Fight Night: Michael Morales vs Jake Matthews Prediction
Another Vegas event is back on the UFC schedule this weekend and it’s a card full of very interesting fights between prospects and other upcoming contenders. The co-main event will be a welterweight bout between the undefeated prospect Michael Morales and the always-tough Jake Matthews.
Morales vs. Matthews Picks
UFC Pick: Morales will get his hand raised.
Read more for a closer look at this bout between bright young talents and for the official Morales vs. Matthews prediction ahead of placing your bets this weekend.
Michael Morales vs Jake Matthews Information
Michael Morales vs Jake Matthews
Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date & Time: November 18, 2023. 5 PM ET main card start
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Morales is coming off an impressive decision win over UFC veteran Max Griffin in July.
Matthews is coming off a big second-round submission win over Darrius Flowers at UFC 291 in July.
Michael Morales vs Jake Matthews Betting Analysis
Michael Morales
Morales is an Ecuadorian mixed martial arts fighter with a professional record of 15-0, including 11 TKO/KO wins and 1 submission under his belt at only the age of 23. He earned his UFC contract back in 2021 when he won his fight on Dana White’s Contender Series at the end of the year.
Morales, standing at 6’0” with an incredible 79” reach, primarily fights out of the orthodox stance. His frame suggests that he won’t be fighting at welterweight for too long since he’s only 23 years old and will probably grow into his body even more over the next few years. In the UFC, Morales averages 5.17 significant strikes landed and 3.54 significant strikes absorbed per minute. He also holds a stingy 91% takedown defense with 1.66 takedowns of his own landed per 15 minutes in the octagon.
Jake Matthews
Australian professional mixed martial artist Matthews boasts a 19-6 record, including 5 TKO/KO wins and 8 submissions. The 29-year-old Aussie has been in the UFC since 2014 when he was only 20 years old–winning his debut via submission against Dashon Johnson.
18 fights later, Matthews averages 3.27 significant strikes landed and only 2.33 significant strikes absorbed per minute in the UFC. He also lands 1.71 takedowns per 15 minutes competing, along with a modest 61% takedown defense. He is 12-6 inside the UFC.
Updates
The UFC has not reported any injuries.
Michael Morales vs Jake Matthews Betting Preview
The next step to making the perfect Morales vs. Matthews prediction ahead of this weekend is breaking down the betting lines and watching the tape on both of these guys. The analytics can give us an idea of how these two match up, but studying their styles will paint a better picture.
According to the UFC odds, Morales is a sizable betting favorite with odds at -310 to get his hand raised over the +260 Matthews. This fight is also favored to end inside the distance at -180, and the under 1.5 round total is currently +145.
With the odds laid out for us, the only thing we need to do is determine how this fight might fit into one of the bets. From watching the tape, the raw talent of Morales stands out more than anything.
Morales showed a lot of things in his last bout against a veteran of the sport, Max Griffin. He showed improvement in his defensive wrestling, stuffing a bunch of takedowns, and he fought behind his jab so well. Maintaining focus for all three rounds, he seamlessly transitioned from flying knees and Superman punches back to his formidable jab.
Matthews is an interesting matchup for the young highly-touted prospect. He’s experienced yet young, fights with freedom, excels in defensive tactics, and possesses strong offensive skills, showcasing a versatile approach.
Michael Morales vs Jake Matthews Betting Prediction
UFC picks are very difficult to make correctly on a weekly basis, but there are ways to have the best chance possible and that is by following Insiders Betting Digest. This fight will be an exciting one to watch and an even better one to win money on.
The official Morales vs. Matthews prediction is that Morales will get his hand raised. Matthews is too comfortable with fighting against the fence and countering with his hands down. Morales is likely to land heavy, clean shots, potentially ending the fight instantly or overwhelming Matthews, hindering his comeback.
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