2023 Lincoln Handicap Trends: Stats To Find Doncaster Winner

Use our 2023 Lincoln Handicap trends to help you find the winner of Saturday’s big Doncaster race. You can use the key Lincoln Handicap stats to whittle down the runners and find the best profile of past winners.

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Lincoln Handicap Trends to Help You Find the Winner

The Pertemps Network Lincoln Handicap, this Saturday at Doncaster races, is the traditional curtain-raiser race to the new flat turf season.

There will be a maximum of 22 runners heading to post in search of the £77,310 first prize, which is run over a mile for horses aged 4+.

Let’s look at some of the main Doncaster stats in a bit more detail – which can hopefully point you in the direction of the winning horse. Plus, read on below to find our more in-depth Lincoln Handicap trends.

What Date & Time Is The 2023 Lincoln Handicap?

��Time/Date: 3:35pm (Saturday 1st April 2023)
��Racecourse: Doncaster
�� Purse/Winner: £77,310
�� TV: ITV / SkySports Racing

All Of the Last 19 Lincoln Handicap Winners Were Aged 6 Or Younger

The first place to start if you want to narrow down your search for the 2023 Lincoln Handicap winner is the age. ALL of the last 19 winners were aged 6 or younger and even though most will fit the bill here, we can still rule out some.

Looking at the possible runners, those aged 7+ are Migration, Safe Voyage, Boardman, Bopedro, Revich, Raising Sand and Broken Spear.

4 year olds have by far the best record too – they’ve won 11 of the last 19 runnings (58%).

95% Of Recent Winners (last 19) Carried 9st 4lbs or Less

Weight is next up for this big-field handicap as 18 of the last 19 Lincoln winners carried 9st 4lbs or less.

If running, this would rule out Atrium, Greatgadian, Witch Hunter, Awaal, Saga, Brunch, Tacarib Bay and Migration.

While, sticking with the weight trend, it could also pay to know that 10 of the last 12 winners were weighted between 9-0 and 9-4. Backed up again in 2022 with Johan carrying 9-4.

73% Of the Last 19 Winners Drawn in Stall 9 Or Higher

The draw can play a big part too. In the last 19 runnings a massive 14 winners have come from stalls 9 or higher.

However, last year’s winner Johan defied this stat – winning from stall 4. But previous to that, the winners between 2015 and 2021 all came from stalls 10-22.

Winning Form Over At Least a Mile Is Essential

Being run over a mile, then a larger chunk of the 22 runners will already have winning form over this trip. Therefore, we are probably not going to find many to knockout here. But it’s still worth a look and there are some – including Tacarib Bay, Baradar and the Queen’s Saga that are all to still win over a mile.

4 Winning Favourites in The Last 19 Runnings

Four winning favourites in the last 19 runnings might not look like a great return at first glance – but it’s still a 21% strike-rate.

But it seems the market leaders either win or bomb out completely as 12 of the last 19 favourites were also unplaced.

Trainer William Haggas Is Respected

The powerful William Haggas yard like to target the Lincoln Handicap too – over the year’s the Newmarket handler has won this early season handicap four times (1992, 2007, 2010 & 2018) and needs just one more success to be the winning-most trainer.

This year he’s got Montassib and the hot favourite Al Mubhir running to try and make him the most successful trainer in the race’s history.

Other trainers to note are John Quinn and John Gosden, while the Channon yard won the race last year.

In terms of jockeys – James Doyle has the best recent record, having won 2 of the last 4.

Lincoln Handicap Trends to Help Find The Winner

See below our in-depth Lincoln Handicap trends to help you find the best profile based on past winners of the race. Apply these Doncaster stats to the final runners to see which horses have the most going for them.

• 19/19 – Aged 6 or younger
• 18/19 – Carried 9-4 or less in weight
• 16/19 – Had won over at least 1m before
• 15/19 – Had won between 2-4 times before
• 14/19 – Drawn in stall 9 or higher
• 14/19 – Having their first run of the flat season
• 13/19 – Winning distance – 1 length or more
• 12/19 – Unplaced favourites
• 11/19 – Aged 4 years-old
• 11/19 – Returned a double figure price in the betting
• 10/19 – Officially rated between 95-100
• 10/19 – Placed first or second last time out
• 9/19 – Had raced at Doncaster before
• 8/19 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
• 8/19 – Won last time out
• 7/19 – Raced at either Newmarket or Lingfield last time out
• 5/19 – Placed horses from stall 12 (1 winner)
• 4/19  – Placed horses from stall 16 (1 winner)
• 4/19 – Winning favourites
• 3/19 – Trained by William Haggas
• 2/19 – Trained by Richard Fahey
• 2/19 – Trained by Charlie Appleby
• 2/19 – Trained by John Quinn
• 2/19 – Trained by John Gosden
• 2/19 – Ridden by James Doyle (2 of last 4)
• 10 of the last 12 winners carried between 9-0 and 9-4 in weight
• Just 1 winner has carried 9-10 in the last 36 runnings

• 2022 – JOHAN (28/1)
• 2021 – HAQEEQY (9/2)
• 2020 – Cancelled (Covid)
• 2019 – AUXERRE (5/2 fav)
• 2018 – ADDEYBB (5/1)
• 2017 – BRAVERY (20/1)
• 2016 – SECRET BRIEF (12/1)
• 2015 – GABRIAL (12/1)
• 2014 – OCEAN TEMPEST (33/1)
• 2013 – LEVITATE (20/1)