2023 MLB picks, odds, best bets for Wednesday, Aug. 30 by proven model: This three-way parlay returns over 6-1

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The Tampa Bay Rays aim for their fourth consecutive win and eighth in nine contests when they visit the Miami Marlins for the finale of their two-game series on Wednesday (6:40 p.m. ET) at loanDepot Park. Tampa Bay (81-52), which has a comfortable lead in the American League wild-card standings and trails Baltimore by 2.5 games in the AL East, rolled to an 11-2 victory in Tuesday's opener. The loss was the ninth in 12 contests for Miami (66-66), which is three games out of the final wild-card spot in the National League. On Wednesday, Tampa Bay's Zach Eflin (13-8, 3.55 ERA) takes the mound opposite Miami's Jesus Luzardo (9-8, 3.77).

The Rays are -124 favorites (risk $124 to win $100) while the Marlins are +105 underdogs in the latest MLB odds. The over/under for total runs scored is 7.5, and the game is one of six on the MLB schedule for Wednesday evening. Elsewhere, the NL West-leading Dodgers (-179) look to complete a three-game sweep against the division-rival Diamondbacks, who occupy a wild-card spot, while the AL West co-leading Rangers (-153) attempt to do the same when they visit the Mets. Before you lock in your MLB picks or parlays, be sure to .

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered Week 23 of the 2023 MLB season 71-55 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 14-4 (+640). Anyone following it has seen big returns.

For Wednesday, the model has locked in three confident MLB best bets for games that begin at 6:40 p.m. ET or later. If you successfully parlay the picks, you'd be looking at a payout of more than 6-1. You can see the model's MLB picks only at SportsLine.

Top MLB picks today

After simulating every game on Wednesday 10,000 times, the model is picking the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) to defeat the Kansas City Royals. Pittsburgh lost four of the final five contests of its seven-game homestand before kicking off a midwest road trip against the perfect opponent. Kansas City is counting the days until the end of the season as it has lost five straight and 12 of 14 while being one of only two teams officially eliminated from playoff contention.

The Pirates won the first two games of the set by a combined score of 11-3, limiting the Royals to a total of eight hits. Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone 5-for-8 with a homer and three RBI in the series and enters the finale having driven in at least one run in four straight contests. The 26-year-old third baseman, who has set career highs of 11 blasts and 52 RBI, has hit safely in seven of his last eight games and recorded eight multi-hit performances in his past 14 outings. See the model's top MLB picks here.