2023 PGA Championship picks, bets, predictions, field, odds: Proven golf expert fading Jon Rahm at Oak Hill

Oak Hill Country Club has a championship pedigree, but so do many of the players set to tee off Thursday at the 2023 PGA Championship. The course in Rochester, N.Y. is hosting its fourth PGA Championship and has been the site of three U.S. Opens and the 1995 Ryder Cup. It's a challenging track, designed by Donald Ross and updated by Robert Trent Jones Sr. and Tom Fazio among others, but many PGA Tour stars have the skills to conquer it. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler headline the 2023 PGA Championship field as the top two players in the world Rahm and Scheffler, the past two Masters champions, are 7-1 co-favorites in the 2023 PGA Championship odds.

Next up are four-time major winners Rory McIlroy (11-1) and Brooks Koepka (18-1), as well as 2021 FedEx Cup champion Patrick Cantlay (18-1). Jason Day (20-1) won last week's Byron Nelson, while Dustin Johnson (20-1) won in Tulsa. Justin Thomas (20-1) is the reigning champ after winning his second PGA title last year. Before you lock in any 2023 PGA Championship picks or bets, make sure you check out the 2023 PGA Championship predictions and best bets from PGA Tour golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad.

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright market, first-round leader market and betting head-to-head matchups. At the Wells Fargo Championship, he had Wyndham Clark among his longshot outrights, backing the 75-1 shot before he dominated at Quail Hollow for his first PGA Tour victory.

In 2022, he hit six first-round leaders in a 12-week span while peppering in tournament outrights throughout the year. In 2023, SportsLine debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners. Nejad also had a winning head-to-head record in eight of 10 weeks and was up more than 70 units over that three-month span. Anyone who has followed his lead is way up.

Now, Nejad has focused his attention on the 2023 PGA Championship field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. You can only see them here.

Top 2023 PGA Championship expert picks

One shocker from Nejad: The expert is fading Jon Rahm, who has been rolling but is priced too short. The 28-year-old has four victories this season, including the Masters, and Nejad told SportsLine, "It's tough not to like everything about Jon Rahm's game right now." Still, the expert says "his number is simply too short." Rahm tied for 39th at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and failed to advance at the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play, so he isn't infallible. See who else to fade here.

On the other hand, Nejad loves the value on Patrick Cantlay at 18-1. The 31-year-old finished third in the 2019 PGA Championship at Bethpage and has top-15 finishes in all four majors, but he hasn't contended. Cantlay's skills should translate well to Oak Hill, and "he truly has the complete game to win here," Nejad said. Cantlay is second on tour in total driving and eighth in greens in regulation, helping him rank third in scoring average (68.79). He has six top-10 finishes in 12 tournaments in 2022-23. See who else to back here.

How to make 2023 PGA Championship golf picks

Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2023 PGA Championship and is picking his longshots, including one who's priced at around +5000. This golfer "presents a ton of value" with his ability to spike in key areas. If this player can pull off a stunning victory, he would cash in huge for anyone who backs him. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.

So which players should you target or avoid for the 2023 PGA Championship? And which golfer in the PGA Championship 2023 field could bring a huge payday of around 50-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad's top prop picks for PGA Championship 2023, all from the expert who was up more than 70 units.

2023 PGA Championship odds, field

Jon Rahm 7-1Scottie Scheffler 7-1Rory McIlroy 11-1Patrick Cantlay 18-1Brooks Koepka 18-1Justin Thomas 20-1Dustin Johnson 20-1Jason Day 20-1Xander Schauffele 22-1Collin Morikawa 22-1Tony Finau 25-1Cameron Young 25-1Viktor Hovland 28-1Jordan Spieth 28-1Max Homa 28-1Matthew Fitzpatrick 30-1Cameron Smith 30-1Sungjae Im 350-1Tyrrell Hatton 40-1Joonhyung (Tom) Kim 40-1Talor Gooch 40-1Sam Burns 40-1Hideki Matsuyama 45-1Patrick Reed 60-1Shane Lowry 60-1Adam Scott 65-1Keegan Bradley 65-1Rickie Fowler 65-1Sahith Theegala 65-1Tommy Fleetwood 70-1Wyndham Clark 701Justin Rose 75-1Joaquin Niemann 75-1Abraham Ancer 80-1Phil Mickelson 85-1K.H. Lee 90-1Corey Conners 90-1Bryson DeChambeau 90-1Nicolai Hojgaard 100-1Seamus Power 100-1Rasmus Hojgaard 100-1Russell Henley 100-1Lucas Herbert 100-1Harris English 100-1Mito Pereira 100-1Billy Horschel 125-1Chris Kirk 125-1Kurt Kitayama 125-1Min Woo Lee 125-1Gary Woodland 125-1Davis Riley 125-1Si-Woo Kim 125-1Robert Macintyre 125-1Denny McCarthy 125-1Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1Matt Wallace 150-1Webb Simpson 150-1Paul Casey 150-1Matt Kuchar 150-1Nick Hardy 150-1Anirban Lahiri 150-1Aaron Wise 150-1Harold Varner 150-1Tom Hoge 150-1Adrian Meronk 150-1Keith Mitchell 175-1Adam Hadwin 175-1Victor Perez 175-1Brian Harman 175-1Alex Noren 175-1Jordan Smith 175-1Dean Burmester 175-1Taylor Moore 175-1Ryan Fox 200-1Thriston Lawrence 200-1Thomas Detry 200-1Taylor Montgomery 200-1Kevin Kisner 200-1JJ Spaun 200-1Cam Davis 200-1Francesco Molinari 200-1Thomas Pieters 200-1Pabblo Larrazabal 200-1Taylor Pendrith 200-1Yannik Paul 200-1Joel Dahmen 225-1Luke List 225-1Adam Svensson 225-1Mackenzie Hughes 225-1Matthew NeSmith 225-1Thorbjorn Olesen 250-1Maverick McNealy 250-1Brendan Steele 250-1Beau Hossler 250-1Adri Arnaus 250-1Emiliano Grillo 250-1Ockie Strydom 250-1Sepp Straka 250-1Patrick Rodgers 250-1Brandon Wu 275-1JT Poston 300-1Brendon Todd 300-1Alex Smalley 300-1Hayden Buckley 300-1Andrew Putnam 300-1Ben Griffin 300-1Sam Horsfield 300-1Scott Stallings 300-1Nick Taylor 350-1Ben Taylor 350-1Mark Hubbard 350-1Justin Suh 350-1Davis Thompson 350-1Chez Reavie 350-1Danny Willett 350-1Jimmy Walker 350-1Callum Shinkwin 350-1Padraig Harrington 350-1Sam Ryder 350-1Rikuya Hoshino 500-1Callum Tarren 500-1Luke Donald 500-1Sihwan Kim 500-1Trey Mullinax 500-1David Lingmerth 500-1Sadom Kaewkanjana 500-1Kazuki Higa 500-1Zach Johnson 500-1David Micheluzzi 500-1Adam Schenk 500-1Nico Echavarria 500-1Steven Alker 750-1Shaun Micheel 2000-1John Daly 2000-1