2023 U.S. Open picks, odds, field, date: Surprising PGA predictions by proven golf model that nailed 9 majors

Brooks Koepka took down the PGA Championship with a 9-under-par. Koepka was second at the Masters in April and will try to continue his impressive run in majors at the 2023 U.S. Open at Los Angeles Country Club beginning on Thursday, June 15. Scottie Scheffler, ranked No. 1 in the world, is the 17-2 favorite after finishing second at the PGA Championship. Jon Rahm, who won the Masters, follows at 9-1, with Rory McIlroy at 10-1 in the latest 2023 U.S. Open odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Koepka (12-1), Justin Thomas (16-1) and Patrick Cantlay (16-1) have the next-lowest odds to win the U.S. Open 2023.

The third major of the year is expected to be filled with elite talent yet again on the West Coast, so which golfers should you play or fade when making your 2023 U.S Open bets? Before locking in your 2023 U.S. Open picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the 2023 U.S. Open predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,700 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Hardy and Davis Riley in its best bets to win the 2023 Zurich Classic. That bet hit at +4500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned over $1,100. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn't won a PGA Tour event since 2018.

This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2023 U.S. Open field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 U.S. Open leaderboard.

Top 2023 U.S. Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the U.S. Open 2023: Cameron Smith, a six-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites, stumbles this week and barely cracks the top 15. He won the 2022 Open Championship, but he has not finished in the top five at either of the major championships this season. Smith was outside the top 30 at the Masters in April, shooting 4-over-par. 

He finished ninth at the PGA Championship in the second major of the year, but was never in contention for the title. Smith has struggled at the U.S. Open in recent years, failing to place inside the top 35 since his debut in 2015. He has missed the cut in each of the last two U.S. Open tournaments, so the model does not see any value in backing Smith at short golf odds in this year's edition. See which golfers to fade here.

Another surprise: Dustin Johnson, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Johnson, with 24 career PGA wins, has won two majors, including the 2016 U.S. Open.

Johnson is one of most successful golfers in recent history. He has 14 top-10 finishes with eight top-five finishes over 30 majors since 2015. The 38-year-old has finished in the top three in at least one major in six of the last eight years. At 28-1 U.S. Open odds 2023, Johnson is providing value due to recent failures at majors, but his career shows the ability to rebound from a poor performance. See who else to pick here. 

How to make 2023 U.S. Open picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with U.S. Open odds 2023 longer than 20-1 who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's 2023 U.S. Open picks here.

2023 U.S. Open odds, field

Scottie Scheffler 17-2Jon Rahm 9-1Rory McIlroy 10-1 Brooks Koepka 10-1Justin Thomas 16-1Patrick Cantlay 16-1Cameron Smith 18-1Xander Schauffele 18-1Max Homa 20-1Collin Morikawa 22-1 Tony Finau 22-1 Jordan Spieth 25-1 Viktor Hovland 25-1 Matt Fitzpatrick 25-1Dustin Johnson 28-1Joonhyung (Tom) Kim 33-1Hideki Matsuyama 35-1Sam Burns 35-1Shane Lowry 35-1Cameron Young 35-1Sungjae Im 35-1Bryson DeChambeau 40-1Joaquin Niemann 50-1Sahith Theegala 55-1Tyrrell Hatton 55-1Corey Conners 55-1Aaron Wise 60-1Daniel Berger 60-1Tommy Fleetwood 60-1Louis Oosthuizen 65-1Keegan Bradley 65-1Davis Riley 65-1Marc Leishman 65-1Billy Horschel 70-1Russell Henley 75-1Abraham Ancer 75-1Justin Rose 75-1Tom Hoge 80-1Seamus Power 80-1Mito Pereira 80-1Patrick Reed 85-1Talor Gooch 90-1Christiaan Bezuidenhout 100-1Robert MacIntyre 100-1Webb Simpson 100-1Gary Woodland 100-1Denny McCarthy 100-1Harold Varner 100-1Jason Kokrak 100-1Adam Scott 100-1Rickie Fowler 110-1Thomas Pieters 125-1Mackenzie Hughes 125-1Si-Woo Kim 125-1Brian Harman 125-1Luke List 125-1Sergio Garcia 125-1JJ Spaun 125-1Sebastian Munoz 125-1Patrick Rodgers 150-1Matthew NeSmith 150-1Cameron Tringale 150-1Harris English 150-1Kevin Kisner 150-1Trey Mullinax 150-1K.H. Lee 150-1JT Poston 150-1Alex Noren 150-1Adam Hadwin 175-1Nick Hardy 175-1Joel Dahmen 200-1