2023 3M Open picks, odds, field: Surprising PGA predictions, best bets from model that nailed 10 majors

The 2023 3M Open is set to get underway on Thursday, July 27, and a number of players will enter TPC Twin Cities confident they can secure the victory. Tony Finau has recorded two wins this season and he enters the 3M Open 2023 as the defending champion. Finau currently ranks fifth in birdie average (4.29), seventh in strokes gained: approach to green (0.816) and 15th in scoring average (69.57). However, Finau has finished T-45 or worse in five of his last six starts, which includes three missed cuts.

Meanwhile, Cameron Young is coming off a top-10 finish at the Open Championship. Young has yet to win on the PGA Tour, but he's secured five top-10 finishes this season. The latest 2023 3M Open odds list Finau as the 12-1 favorite, while Young is going off at 14-1. Other 2023 3M Open contenders include Sungjae Im (16-1), Hideki Matsuyama (18-1) and Justin Thomas (20-1). Before locking in your 2023 3M Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,700 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2023 3M Open field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2023 3M Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 3M Open 2023: Im, a two-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites at 16-1, stumbles and fails to crack the top 10. The 25-year-old South Korean was the 2018-19 PGA Tour Rookie of the Year and he's currently ranked No. 27 in the OWGR.

However, he was ranked as high as 17th earlier this year and has missed the cut in four of his last eight worldwide starts. His best finish during that span was T-20 at the 2023 Open Championship last week and his current run of form doesn't seem to justify his status as one of the top favorites.

Another surprise: Stephan Jaeger, a 35-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Jaeger has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

In order to score well at TPC Twin Cities, players will need to be extremely accurate with their irons and few do it better than Jaeger. In fact, the 34-year-old enters this week's event ranked 13th in greens in regulation percentage (69.09%). Jaeger has also finished T-13 or better in two of his last three starts on the PGA Tour, making him a strong value pick for your 2023 3M Open bets this week. See who else to pick here.

How to make 2023 3M Open picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's 3M Open picks here.

So, who will win the 3M Open 2023, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2023 3M Open odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2023 3M Open leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including this year's Masters and Open Championship.

2023 3M Open odds, field

Tony Finau 12-1Cameron Young 14-1Sungjae Im 16-1Hideki Matsuyama 18-1Justin Thomas 20-1Emiliano Grillo 28-1Sepp Straka 30-1Ludvig Aberg 35-1Stephan Jaeger 35-1Gary Woodland 35-1Sahith Theegala 35-1Adam Hadwin 40-1Keith Mitchell 40-1Patrick Rodgers 40-1Cam Davis 40-1Beau Hossler 45-1Mark Hubbard 45-1Aaron Rai 50-1Vincent Norrman 50-1Akshay Bhatia 50-1Ryan Fox 50-1J.T. Poston 50-1Nicolai Hojgaard 50-1J.J. Spaun 50-1Lucas Glover 55-1Eric Cole 55-1Taylor Pendrith 60-1Tom Hoge 65-1Peter Kuest 65-1Matt Kuchar 65-1Christiaan Bezuidenhout 65-1Justin Suh 70-1Alex Noren 70-1Adam Svensson 70-1Garrick Higgo 75-1Austin Eckroat 75-1K.H. Lee 75-1Taylor Montgomery 75-1Cameron Champ 75-1Lee Hodges 80-1Brandon Wu 80-1Sam Bennett 80-1Doug Ghim 80-1Ryan Palmer 90-1Ben Griffin 90-1Chez Reavie 100-1Sam Stevens 100-1Nate Lashley 100-1Nick Hardy 100-1